TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec27…ba0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 63 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.7
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$40.71
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.29
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$9.41
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$90.29
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.1
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$125.75
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$34.39
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.01
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$21.66
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.58
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+113.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$15.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$58.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.96
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.46
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.48
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.32
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$36.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.32
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$15.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$22.62
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$7.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+34%+$3.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.