Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eba2db7c771c568e47bd95489aa9ea20c327d9fdaa0eabecc79dc9468bf8b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 5,765$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.46 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 3,315$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 2,908$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…b6a2backed Yes | 30c | 2,074$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,566$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.26 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,146$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,111$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 29c | 999.89$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed No | 71c | 374.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 326.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 30c | 303.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 275$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 69c | 240.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 196.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 167.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 150.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 56c | 129.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 115.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 107.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 79.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 65c | 77.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 49c | 75.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 71.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 71.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 26c | 67.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 71c | 59.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 53c | 58.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 30c | 57.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 71c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 59c | 49.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 42.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 41.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 51c | 40.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 37.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 37.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 29c | 37.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes | 37c | 33.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 71c | 32.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e1…f770backed Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…ba0fbacked Yes | 38c | 29.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 60c | 27.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 71c | 25.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 71c | 25.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed No | 71c | 22.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 47c | 22.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 71c | 20.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.