TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Jazz, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,451,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,505,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,451,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Jazz27c313,690$83,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,780.4911137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans72c199,837$143,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,452.5954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Jazz31c106,614$32,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,982.98750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Pelicans73c70,802$51,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,4422437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pelicans78c52,027$40,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,209.5920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pelicans70c51,887$36,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,786.9766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz19c41,585$8,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,050.6232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz18c31,743$5,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,729.5535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz25c29,155$7,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,153.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans60c23,086$13,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,252.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Jazz17c22,567$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.3416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jazz26c19,615$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.3749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz54c19,338$10,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.4459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz35c18,550$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,469.321,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.041,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pelicans76c15,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pelicans75c13,672$10,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.5937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz6c13,507$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.851,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Pelicans74c13,000$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3803450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pelicans47c12,588$5,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,65232846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Pelicans78c12,358$9,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.347142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz33c12,317$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.921,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Jazz16c12,081$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.0172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Pelicans74c11,770$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.0121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Jazz6c11,101$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.0535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans72c10,794$7,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pelicans70c10,570$7,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.3690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Jazz10c9,737$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6710630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc532…3b9dbacked Pelicans70c9,587$6,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.68944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Pelicans74c9,046$6,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.1511738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Jazz31c8,185$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.382556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans76c8,122$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Jazz1c7,545$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9111033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans53c7,000$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2701,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz37c6,697$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Pelicans63c6,462$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.526848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans80c6,359$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pelicans78c5,261$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.4576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Jazz17c4,869$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.7825947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Pelicans52c4,651$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.729347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Pelicans46c4,636$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Jazz24c4,456$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.825141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Jazz44c4,360$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.445633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz18c3,946$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jazz27c3,849$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.8524841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Jazz29c3,830$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.5115649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz13c3,758$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.471,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans74c3,695$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.2662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Pelicans69c3,573$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.4123833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans70c3,507$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.1758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans70c3,497$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.471,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Pelicans69c3,052$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.128763.2%55 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pelicans51c2,873$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.5413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Pelicans77c2,822$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.048061.3%49 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Pelicans75c2,808$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0527735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jazz29c2,708$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.9510447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz34c2,649$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Jazz20c2,640$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.269343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67d5…c6c9backed Pelicans80c2,522$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.752560%15 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz51c2,428$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans67c2,396$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans51c2,298$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.3772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b78backed Jazz17c2,287$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.898326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Pelicans67c2,226$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.416959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Pelicans74c2,200$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans77c2,154$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.432,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x267a…79ebbacked Pelicans74c2,133$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans67c2,057$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.421,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Jazz38c2,021$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Jazz17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9915219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Jazz24c1,909$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1129250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Jazz5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.36817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Pelicans52c1,836$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.0711558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Pelicans56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.9912756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Pelicans78c1,778$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pelicans70c1,753$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Jazz25c1,744$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.17236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Pelicans74c1,701$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3217144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Jazz24c1,670$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8511235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Jazz30c1,659$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.566628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8ef3backed Jazz17c1,654$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.962010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Pelicans59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8257444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pelicans74c1,647$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.199629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Pelicans56c1,632$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.6217651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pelicans75c1,628$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3215219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Pelicans75c1,591$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5722453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans73c1,508$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz36c1,501$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3812143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz30c1,437$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz29c1,436$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4746145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Jazz37c1,413$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.417839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Jazz31c1,402$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.891428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Jazz20c1,371$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Pelicans74c1,354$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans77c1,342$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Jazz29c1,334$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2422637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pelicans61c1,325$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5924937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jazz18c1,321$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.717532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.