TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.9366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c9,347$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c5,577$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c4,563$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.152,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c2,992$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c2,889$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.661,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c2,713$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.3387750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c2,194$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.822,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Over55c1,809$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under49c1,749$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.8687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c1,637$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under45c1,611$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.8710252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c991.07$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.711,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c948.62$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c897.84$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c815.66$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.531,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c719.1$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.611,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c705.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c619.23$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under7c609.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c499.97$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c497.88$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c475.11$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c475.11$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c454.25$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c443.35$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.881,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c440.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c429.77$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.42,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over53c387.08$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c332.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under45c330.31$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6420349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over51c292.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c270.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c231.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under6c224.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xba99…26bbbacked Over57c214.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.821752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c202.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over51c194.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.067853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c190.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over54c186.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under46c183.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.121,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.221347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under14c169.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7110523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over43c160.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.382,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c156.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7538242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over54c139.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c134.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under12c104.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c100.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c99.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under46c98.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Under45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.424852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under35c84.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c83.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under48c81.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Under47c78.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Under50c78.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.293246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over51c77.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.920240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c61.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over80c51.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.612558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under45c44.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1316048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c44.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.291,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over53c41.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c40.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.253453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over56c38.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1420558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c38.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.391,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9212661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Over55c31.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.295060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over55c31.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f53cbacked Under47c29.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ed…8af4backed Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Over54c27.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.812369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under47c26.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.623840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked Under47c26.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc98…b7f4backed Over53c25.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6d…0dd1backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over51c24.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.184860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Under45c24.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.124942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under48c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6318548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over44c23.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a1…0ddcbacked Over53c23.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8299…7926backed Under47c23.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under45c23.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over53c22.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under49c22.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.136741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0acf…6557backed Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over55c20.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over55c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…65e9backed Over53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.