TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans48c94,222$44,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,464.3160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Jazz52c45,656$23,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,551.3737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz56c27,378$15,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,331.541,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jazz54c21,913$11,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,912.7549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz50c20,647$10,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,347.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans51c11,975$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.611,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Jazz49c9,883$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.1426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Pelicans44c9,507$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.0817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans49c9,424$4,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz52c7,263$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pelicans47c7,044$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.211,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz52c5,689$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz52c5,137$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.91,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pelicans50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Jazz50c4,833$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.4510252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Pelicans47c4,579$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.2113563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Pelicans48c3,886$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.0227455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz51c2,311$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.131,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9858740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Jazz50c1,836$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Pelicans50c1,642$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.234465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Pelicans46c1,117$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans49c1,115$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz49c1,013$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Pelicans47c977.27$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Pelicans49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3925155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jazz50c871.34$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3810447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans50c821.97$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.821,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pelicans48c782.3$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.8257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans38c774.83$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.1993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz55c752.31$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz54c704.71$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.411,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz53c591.46$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Pelicans47c581.36$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2322552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Jazz56c573.73$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.295947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Pelicans45c558.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2914145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Pelicans44c553.75$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.116845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz62c494.23$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.421,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Jazz55c493.58$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…b570backed Pelicans44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pelicans46c434.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pelicans48c419.65$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Jazz62c399.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.483831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Pelicans48c394.49$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Jazz53c365.74$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.661,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pelicans49c337.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Pelicans48c271.83$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2130654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz55c265.03$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.472,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz54c251.07$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Pelicans49c232.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Pelicans49c223.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.915650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz51c216.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.362,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans51c208.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pelicans40c207.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.981,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Pelicans44c206.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Jazz56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Pelicans47c199.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0220443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Jazz50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Jazz40c187$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.822836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Jazz54c180.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.249239.1%36 W · 56 L-10.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Pelicans47c173.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0217852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Pelicans52c171.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Jazz62c171.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3214640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pelicans46c170.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3373…50c4backed Pelicans38c164.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Pelicans49c160.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8322953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Pelicans48c159.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8617057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Pelicans46c158.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8516450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pelicans43c149.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Pelicans49c148.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans43c146.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jazz56c143.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Pelicans47c142.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Pelicans43c137.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1927450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Pelicans44c128.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.986134.4%21 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Pelicans48c116.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5425855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…6ecbbacked Pelicans47c114.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.648046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Pelicans52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz56c111.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.961,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Pelicans44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.527854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Pelicans50c109$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Pelicans44c103.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9116245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Pelicans43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Pelicans51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0325559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jazz50c97.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Pelicans48c96.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.997231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pelicans61c96.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcf…ba89backed Pelicans46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Pelicans51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.636443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Pelicans18c93.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.044742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz39c92.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.151,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Pelicans45c90.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9920249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Pelicans45c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.46842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Pelicans51c85.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Jazz49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Jazz62c81.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.644337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Jazz49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Pelicans48c71.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.943964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz50c69.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.431,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Pelicans49c69.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5313554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.