NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91f4f41c2dfbd1ad06f6efb18de9524a14ce9dcf173e1fd32e734a3ebc19a77a

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans	48c	10,127$4,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,283.7	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jazz	52c	10,066$5,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,234.32	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz	53c	4,364$2,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.85	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pelicans	47c	1,987$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.98	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz	56c	1,950$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.28	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Pelicans	48c	1,921$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.18	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Jazz	79c	1,864$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.52	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz	54c	1,003$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.46	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Pelicans	21c	1,000$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Pelicans	46c	809.35$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.26	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pelicans	47c	607.6$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.03	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans	20c	580.08$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.07	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Jazz	57c	457.45$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.75	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Jazz	55c	452.93$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.11	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz	53c	326.62$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.14	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans	44c	224.1$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.5	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pelicans	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	362	48.1%174 W · 188 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Pelicans	50c	203.7$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.85	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Pelicans	48c	201.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Pelicans	48c	201.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	185	52.4%97 W · 88 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Pelicans	44c	170.45$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.45	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pelicans	44c	158.87$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.27	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans	43c	154.78$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.85	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans	47c	153.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.52	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Pelicans	44c	153.75$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.1	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans	48c	148.92$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.86	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Jazz	43c	100.9$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Pelicans	44c	96.59$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.09	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed Jazz	80c	93.12$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Pelicans	45c	75.19$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pelicans	73c	67.44$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz	54c	63.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.07	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Jazz	24c	60.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Jazz	54c	52.22$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Pelicans	49c	51.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.41	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans	44c	42.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Pelicans	45c	41.89$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.86	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz	53c	33.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Jazz	53c	32.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz	40c	30.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Jazz	58c	29.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz	44c	22.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	77c	21.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.87	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc037…5c68backed Jazz	54c	20.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event