TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Under51c48,713$24,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,843.6229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over49c47,825$23,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,391.6987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c44,385$22,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,192.681,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c15,451$7,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c11,576$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c9,448$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.1737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c5,820$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under49c5,819$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.348154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under49c5,646$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c3,015$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.3730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over45c2,354$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9708555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c1,877$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.3833251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed Over49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,776$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,699$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.341,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c1,466$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.1912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under50c1,434$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.974839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,212$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over51c833.57$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c673.75$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c583.83$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c561.85$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.312,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c534.74$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c419.14$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c415.36$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Under49c391.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.953145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c368.84$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over50c348.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.21,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under54c322.06$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under5c310.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c305.05$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Over46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c270.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over47c243.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over47c243.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c243.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over47c243.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under14c236.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1517553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over47c220.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.947153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c220.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over47c220.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over46c213.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5222836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c208.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Under54c206.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over47c204.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c199.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9719435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c199.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c199.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over47c196.94$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9710457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Under50c162.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.363964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c145.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Under50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.752951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c144.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2743052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under51c132$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c130.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.022,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under51c128.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5616844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c127.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under52c109.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over76c99.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c91.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.211,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Under50c88.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.646648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c86.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c73.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c67.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c58.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.091,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.987350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9810047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under44c54.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1610523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over45c54.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.769454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1241…d325backed Under52c53.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.01156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick40cpaid-86.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under54c53.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7818444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under54c53.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under54c53.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7816653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.332450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2546346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Under54c47.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.873151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over50c44.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.356960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over48c43.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4679…bc44backed Over45c41.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c40.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e26…adcebacked Over51c39.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over50c38.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over44c36.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec9…5f07backed Over48c36.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over51c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7215053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c35.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over51c33.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.338751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under49c31.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4650351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.259454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under54c29.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.