TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$434,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$436,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Over54c236,089$126,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,713.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under46c198,929$92,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,502.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over52c20,000$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,70049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c18,932$9,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,180.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c17,757$8,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c17,565$8,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,487.272,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c15,283$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,225.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c12,778$6,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,389.0587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under50c12,072$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.8316346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,430$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7151,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over53c9,219$4,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.2848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under45c7,917$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,562.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c4,499$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over51c4,130$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.0214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c4,088$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c4,022$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.6563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c4,020$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.7290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c4,020$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.721,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,338$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over51c3,264$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.7329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under50c2,394$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9812850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c2,343$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.978447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,007$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under11c1,855$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c1,838$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c1,812$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.7670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c1,748$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under48c1,647$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.5921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,592$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c1,493$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.8468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over53c1,483$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.1815753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Over51c1,415$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,376$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.972846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,252$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,154$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under40c1,044$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.631,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c938.71$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.4981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under3c933.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c885.24$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.481,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c885.24$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over51c861.88$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c715$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over53c712.5$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3357454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c704.07$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over53c673.89$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.741753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under50c629.53$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7716845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c617.41$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c609.97$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29113547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a96…c617backed Over50c578.53$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c573.28$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c553.38$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.271,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec5…d87abacked Under50c551.47$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under3c437$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c420.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.522,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c407.83$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.720247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8818450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c393.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c390.89$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c381.86$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over52c366.87$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.16858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under53c366.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3618552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under49c335.78$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5310943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under46c326.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over54c320.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.659853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under49c304.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c299.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over51c297$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6811759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Under49c280.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.863964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under50c270.63$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under13c266.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over50c262.42$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.217153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c262.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9414145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under50c258.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0113352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe929…de78backed Over51c256.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under50c256.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9420240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8528852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c248.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.21,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under48c245.59$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over51c245.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over64c229.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c229.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.655,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over52c228.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6333748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under47c222.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4516450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Under48c213.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.314763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c212.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7111453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under48c211.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7215543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over48c199.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.385650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over53c198.68$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9362450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0111858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.258450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.