TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes36c279,007$101,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,312.24238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No65c39,160$25,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,7061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c28,772$17,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,847.555,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c23,801$15,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,259.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No65c20,527$13,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,171.4842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c18,500$11,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5738643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No64c14,675$9,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,345.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No64c13,698$8,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.145736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No63c10,308$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.631,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No64c6,461$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No70c5,253$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.9933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c4,859$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c4,411$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No63c4,089$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.3713049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No64c3,822$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.8547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c3,822$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.7241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No66c3,757$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.561,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No63c2,701$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.256355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No65c2,277$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.693754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c2,012$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.682,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Yes15c1,962$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No64c1,940$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.3912361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes13c1,628$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No64c1,147$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No63c1,099$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No64c1,096$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No64c1,094$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.853773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No69c1,015$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9311963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes32c999.64$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.887441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked No63c930.93$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No64c764.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No70c696.78$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5616759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No65c691.96$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.957955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes24c599.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes10c589.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.813920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes35c569.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.325143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No64c490$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.629854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No63c465.62$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.283066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No61c445.33$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6814540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No61c431.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No70c430.64$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8611763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed No63c385.84$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No64c382.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.594042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c342.15$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.911,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed No63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No61c302.75$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.074667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked No64c301.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No62c296$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No68c276.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6317143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No66c256.74$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.295058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No67c240.56$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3919056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed No64c230.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes8c225.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.327254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No65c208.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.219457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No64c207.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7810467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No74c205.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No65c196.78$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8710564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No63c195.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.363855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No63c194.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.92979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No66c179.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes32c178.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.268026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c174$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.352,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Yes27c167.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes37c158.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.432576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.434461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No63c155.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.363467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.934738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0416160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No66c148.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5918859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No68c145.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.499454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No68c142.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed No66c134.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec27…ba0fbacked Yes37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes20c126.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.12334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No79c117.48$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5712464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes16c109.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.012454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c107.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked No64c101.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes31c99.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8146…fe66backed Yes26c99.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c98.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5318733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.394568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8be0…7465backed Yes18c94.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No64c91.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.021450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes33c84.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No64c81.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No64c81.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4115654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.973231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5357…3c32backed Yes27c70.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No64c68.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.668045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.073762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.