TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c12,069$7,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over47c5,349$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.2696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Over33c4,513$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.441225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under64c2,681$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over54c1,794$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.535655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c1,131$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1414752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under69c1,118$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over39c999.44$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.656937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Over51c999.15$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c986.38$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under39c949.28$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over29c864.28$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.643450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.345166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c642.14$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over62c631.03$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.875354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c568.26$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c511.88$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.218453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c500$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4220452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under43c463.34$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3715244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over57c405$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c393.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.034339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over24c380$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over49c345.72$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under66c312.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.894557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c303.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1210451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over33c293.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9336.1%2 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c272.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under55c226.82$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under49c226.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.554746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under71c222.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.865054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under35c219.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.965450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c203.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under67c188.46$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Under53c179.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under66c178.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over54c174.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.385642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over68c157.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.381471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over66c156.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.293953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.286258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c137.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over25c133.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c107.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c98.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c87.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.361,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over67c77.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.943141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over51c76.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.832556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under68c75.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.122268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under67c73.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6913653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under46c70.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9110358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe89…49e1backed Over29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over33c57.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Over43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c54.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over34c52.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.933154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over23c51.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.859056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under46c50.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.112250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over32c45.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over67c43.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under53c43.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.662650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c43.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under57c41.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over24c41.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under32c40.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.276851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under48c39.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.582763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over43c31.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.665354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541c…e66abacked Over33c30.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under65c30.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6514159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under65c30.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.652365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under65c30.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.657548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under51c29.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under62c28.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under76c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221580%12 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under63c24.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under63c24.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.615556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under66c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.572250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over47c21.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec27…ba0fbacked Under75c15.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.