Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f4f4641eb978f7473bad5ac5cd1fd2847ddffb3ad673a5507a4f5826a124b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 48c | 4,604$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,901$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 26c | 634.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 43c | 512.31$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 53c | 450$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 426.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 47c | 300.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 198.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 97.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 87.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 44.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 54c | 41.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 34.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed No | 54c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)US Cremonese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.