TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barcelona Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otto Virtanenof Otto Virtanen, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller24c5,911$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandre Muller27c5,518$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.427,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alexandre Muller13c3,383$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.022,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Alexandre Muller28c3,378$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.679744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Otto Virtanen31c2,734$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.423959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandre Muller15c2,669$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.474,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Otto Virtanen60c2,407$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.384,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Alexandre Muller69c1,877$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.4548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Alexandre Muller69c1,823$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.897745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Otto Virtanen25c1,731$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.1180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Otto Virtanen31c1,512$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.062,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Otto Virtanen30c1,277$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.1329444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexandre Muller17c1,207$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Otto Virtanen31c1,158$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.8139534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Alexandre Muller69c1,100$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7599750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Otto Virtanen31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69011040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Otto Virtanen30c999.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9932247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Otto Virtanen30c913.42$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Otto Virtanen31c773.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.411,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Alexandre Muller70c711.95$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.378555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Alexandre Muller70c701.43$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49132763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alexandre Muller33c583.46$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Alexandre Muller44c563.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7419443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Alexandre Muller9c536.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2811327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf91…dc43backed Alexandre Muller15c517$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9713261.4%81 W · 51 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Otto Virtanen70c493.73$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0450644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Muller8c479.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Otto Virtanen31c470$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller15c445.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alexandre Muller29c414.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2662534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Alexandre Muller69c409.15$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9319052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Otto Virtanen30c408.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.129230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Otto Virtanen31c394.08$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Otto Virtanen66c386.55$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1736944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Otto Virtanen61c383.58$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.181,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Alexandre Muller73c338.02$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.267466.2%49 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Otto Virtanen30c318.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.011,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Otto Virtanen32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.831,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Otto Virtanen71c293.7$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6273549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Alexandre Muller70c275.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Otto Virtanen77c246.98$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.27,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Otto Virtanen30c246.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7110342.7%44 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Alexandre Muller21c221.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.657852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684d…e35bbacked Alexandre Muller9c218.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93180%0 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Otto Virtanen62c204.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0640548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexandre Muller43c184.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.26,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Alexandre Muller13c182.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6914533.1%48 W · 97 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Otto Virtanen72c169.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0957953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Alexandre Muller70c162.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.918951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Otto Virtanen30c150.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6620515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Alexandre Muller70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.238664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Alexandre Muller70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Otto Virtanen79c134.87$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3856754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Alexandre Muller37c133.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4918540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…1ff2backed Alexandre Muller20c122.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…41dbbacked Alexandre Muller22c122.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexandre Muller56c118.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.892,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Alexandre Muller68c116.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2225342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Alexandre Muller68c109.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Otto Virtanen55c109.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1141668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexandre Muller69c106.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Alexandre Muller18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Otto Virtanen29c99.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Alexandre Muller63c99.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Otto Virtanen55c99.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.646473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Alexandre Muller71c98.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7611263.4%71 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Alexandre Muller69c90.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2768951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Alexandre Muller69c85.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8930853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Alexandre Muller69c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…1414backed Alexandre Muller18c79.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.269645.8%44 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Alexandre Muller62c76.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.715163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Alexandre Muller71c76.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4410471.2%74 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Alexandre Muller66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Alexandre Muller69c71.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.071,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x874d…f711backed Otto Virtanen28c70.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Alexandre Muller70c68.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Otto Virtanen37c68.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9392352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Otto Virtanen29c67.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Alexandre Muller73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1914770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e51…c2e4backed Alexandre Muller43c63.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2381…ebe4backed Otto Virtanen80c62.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Otto Virtanen29c61.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9658734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Otto Virtanen73c50.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Otto Virtanen78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1325756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Alexandre Muller43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.549342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Alexandre Muller69c49.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8950845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alexandre Muller67c46.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Alexandre Muller42c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314555.2%80 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Alexandre Muller71c41.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4818166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Alexandre Muller71c41.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4888560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked Otto Virtanen49c39.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1611258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Alexandre Muller71c38.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.157267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x298e…8a75backed Alexandre Muller70c35.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.544463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Otto Virtanen30c34.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1212544%55 W · 70 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8428…d49abacked Alexandre Muller42c28.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0210637.7%40 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alexandre Muller71c27.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.652,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1275…29c9backed Alexandre Muller42c27.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alexandre Muller70c26.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.853,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Otto Virtanen75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.573548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Alexandre Muller70c24.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.198256.1%46 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.