TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. New York Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof Athletics, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,274,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,628,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees70c334,180$233,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,593.546758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf1…3f2cbacked Athletics0c188,012$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Athletics30c107,296$32,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,188.831149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Athletics29c81,066$23,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,696.8331039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics31c64,887$20,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,114.831,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Athletics68c51,186$34,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,682.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Athletics30c40,008$12,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,002.522748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees33c27,853$9,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,656.7510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Athletics29c15,635$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,610.491,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics32c14,430$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.591,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Athletics30c9,319$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.8265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics31c7,827$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.295,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics46c7,189$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.666,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Athletics31c5,784$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.938247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Athletics30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed New York Yankees69c4,978$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.2226245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Athletics9c4,674$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.444731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed New York Yankees65c4,280$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.16653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked New York Yankees46c4,260$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.454438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics64c4,016$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.511,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees61c3,906$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.7151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed New York Yankees70c3,533$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.934158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c0…25b8backed New York Yankees71c3,485$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2d…8622backed New York Yankees71c3,460$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4f…3216backed New York Yankees71c3,438$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees49c3,350$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.278,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked New York Yankees41c3,177$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Athletics44c2,879$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.027350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees66c2,818$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.166055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics31c2,724$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.396,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics51c2,661$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics31c2,592$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.251,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed New York Yankees71c2,386$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.817950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed New York Yankees67c2,346$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.077750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees64c2,330$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.111,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed New York Yankees65c2,191$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.797048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302a…74e6backed New York Yankees73c2,163$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.081040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Athletics33c2,056$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4413254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked New York Yankees69c2,005$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Athletics30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics56c1,940$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7270735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked New York Yankees71c1,938$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.883948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f28…9133backed New York Yankees42c1,841$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees73c1,759$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.099554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Athletics29c1,757$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.072630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Athletics30c1,753$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8267849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees67c1,722$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.1221656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees71c1,661$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6123357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Athletics33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees50c1,488$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.921842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked New York Yankees70c1,473$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.923052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Athletics30c1,437$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.117151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Athletics31c1,402$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5427451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees68c1,297$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.011,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees58c1,272$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.183,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees66c1,259$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.322,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Athletics30c1,231$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Athletics36c1,201$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.181,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics30c1,100$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3342,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe93…3638backed Athletics57c1,100$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6262755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked New York Yankees47c1,045$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.855747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked New York Yankees41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5905435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Athletics34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Athletics35c994.02$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.914955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees46c951.49$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4655541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Athletics36c884.12$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c9d…8715backed New York Yankees22c843.82$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.662544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Athletics17c789.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.513548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Athletics14c766.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2910634.9%37 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees25c764$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57394034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3d…b570backed New York Yankees70c726.8$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics51c664.68$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.056,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees39c643.4$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.91,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed New York Yankees30c638.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0724040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics35c630.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2837348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees23c616.68$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.951,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics31c613.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.810842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees41c611.7$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.911129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Athletics30c594.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4812154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics33c590$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.91,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a3…a36abacked New York Yankees71c571.62$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Athletics27c561.82$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4910033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics56c547.41$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.745,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked New York Yankees38c545.33$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.994645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…68fbbacked New York Yankees70c535.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.943751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees45c515.73$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.651,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x039f…4512backed Athletics58c504.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Athletics61c488.3$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees56c447.38$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.521,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics34c437.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.950751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Athletics31c417.43$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.425440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Athletics31c415.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3114451.4%74 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Athletics58c397.72$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9128350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Athletics6c396.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Yankees70c392.8$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8423152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Athletics35c390.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7213857.2%79 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7704…9640backed New York Yankees68c383.77$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.812263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.