Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd285dbb3afd6348f6556ad076720df8c543547ced31bb37e012e00f924dd1b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 47c | 52,700$24,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,824.68 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 39,937$18,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,169.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 45c | 24,516$11,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,483.87 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 45c | 21,420$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,690.31 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Heroic | 42c | 12,613$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.51 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Heroic | 55c | 9,157$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.1 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 53c | 7,402$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 49c | 5,800$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.84 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed MOUZ | 47c | 5,550$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 55c | 5,025$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 51c | 4,826$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.44 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed MOUZ | 49c | 4,538$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.73 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,200$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Heroic | 55c | 3,167$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.77 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Heroic | 51c | 3,126$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic | 40c | 2,707$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.86 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heroic | 55c | 2,655$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.09 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 56c | 2,580$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.33 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,227$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.24 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 50c | 2,068$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.43 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 55c | 2,016$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.62 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic | 52c | 1,770$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.15 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 47c | 1,591$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.73 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,570$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,567$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,474$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.78 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heroic | 15c | 1,466$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 52c | 1,421$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,402$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.18 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,333$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.28 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,286$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.93 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,135$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.37 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,119$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,119$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,083$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Heroic | 6c | 1,038$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Heroic | 55c | 1,028$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,020$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 52c | 987$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.24 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Heroic | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 45c | 960$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…8b22backed MOUZ | 48c | 948.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 44c | 878.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Heroic | 56c | 837.48$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.01 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 51c | 796$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.86 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Heroic | 55c | 780.11$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 47c | 775$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Heroic | 54c | 684.57$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Heroic | 54c | 684.57$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Heroic | 51c | 652.29$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Heroic | 43c | 639.39$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Heroic | 54c | 623.31$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic | 50c | 612$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed MOUZ | 49c | 607.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed MOUZ | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Heroic | 29c | 578.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 562.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Heroic | 54c | 554.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 554.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…3d8cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 545.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 46c | 541.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 53c | 520$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Heroic | 48c | 501.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed MOUZ | 53c | 501$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Heroic | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed MOUZ | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Heroic | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic | 57c | 480.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Heroic | 29c | 478.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 49c | 476.59$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Heroic | 54c | 467.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed MOUZ | 45c | 426.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed MOUZ | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked MOUZ | 49c | 413.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +467.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 412.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Heroic | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 394.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Heroic | 52c | 376.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed MOUZ | 75c | 374.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Heroic | 57c | 342.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Heroic | 55c | 312.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Heroic | 55c | 312.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Heroic | 54c | 312.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Heroic | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Heroic | 55c | 296.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 45c | 293.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked MOUZ | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 69c | 285.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…0916backed Heroic | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.