Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f42f0c1a91bf856542b00f121c66f5b0159478b47013c77cd0dfadf79d6416e

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $152,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $191,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic	55c	33,000$18,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,149.91	287	48.8%140 W · 147 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ	45c	25,651$11,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,107.82	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ	45c	16,111$7,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,861.05	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed MOUZ	43c	8,447$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,774.35	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ	37c	5,393$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,412.46	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Heroic	58c	4,914$2,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,858.45	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Heroic	0c	3,482$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	400	14.8%59 W · 341 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked MOUZ	53c	3,412$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.14	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Heroic	1c	3,076$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Heroic	67c	2,996$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.86	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Heroic	56c	2,958$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.46	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Heroic	60c	2,791$1,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,681.29	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic	55c	2,683$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.45	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic	61c	2,477$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.93	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Heroic	60c	2,441$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.98	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ	42c	2,318$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.19	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic	55c	2,106$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.48	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ	42c	2,080$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.78	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic	58c	1,975$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.88	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic	56c	1,421$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.54	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Heroic	58c	1,309$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.37	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ	57c	1,287$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.03	390	42.1%164 W · 226 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked MOUZ	38c	1,275$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.71	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Heroic	56c	1,109$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.79	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic	52c	1,100$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic	56c	1,039$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.06	419	44.2%185 W · 234 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic	55c	881.89$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.04	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Heroic	62c	846.83$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.31	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-7.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Heroic	50c	818$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic	58c	788.32$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.23	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ	50c	764.36$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.18	366	54.1%198 W · 168 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked MOUZ	33c	755.12$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.53	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic	78c	698.78$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.63	416	55.3%230 W · 186 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ	40c	675.15$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.09	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ	35c	578.23$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.5	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked MOUZ	44c	513.9$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.26	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1b…1262backed Heroic	55c	488.82$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Heroic	60c	488$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.8	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ	45c	463.61$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ	42c	460.64$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.6	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ	39c	454.53$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.26	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed MOUZ	30c	450$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	211	46.9%99 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ	55c	435.72$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.29	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ	47c	429.59$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.73	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Heroic	46c	419.37$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.95	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic	44c	419.05$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.05	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Heroic	69c	406.96$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.8	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb2…0b31backed Heroic	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed MOUZ	36c	400$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	615	48.8%300 W · 315 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed MOUZ	52c	388.48$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.47	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ	43c	326.12$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.89	510	49%250 W · 260 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Heroic	63c	299.99$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.99	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked MOUZ	49c	295.77$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.84	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ	39c	291.51$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.08	252	46.8%118 W · 134 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ	44c	289.36$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.04	406	44.6%181 W · 225 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Heroic	52c	274$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.48	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.8wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic	57c	266$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.62	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed Heroic	74c	265.18$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.91	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic	58c	259$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.22	610	57.9%353 W · 257 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed MOUZ	27c	250.97$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.21	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked MOUZ	41c	244.6$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.49	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Heroic	60c	244.31$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.39	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Heroic	55c	243.25$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.79	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ	40c	241$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.6	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Heroic	53c	240$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Heroic	60c	239.12$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.47	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ	37c	219.26$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.94	241	31.5%76 W · 165 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Heroic	51c	211.32$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.27	246	36.6%90 W · 156 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Heroic	36c	200$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ	31c	199.99$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.99	335	49.9%167 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Heroic	61c	199.4$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.62	235	55.7%131 W · 104 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked MOUZ	43c	195.5$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.93	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Heroic	54c	188.87$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.54	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed MOUZ	37c	177.04$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.4	483	52.4%253 W · 230 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ	38c	177.02$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.62	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Heroic	67c	172.79$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.77	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ	38c	164.29$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.66	191	45.5%87 W · 104 L	+13.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Heroic	60c	160.97$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Heroic	58c	156.58$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.25	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic	66c	149.89$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.83	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Heroic	53c	147.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.52	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d33…3d8cbacked MOUZ	42c	143.81$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.51	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+172.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ	50c	136.93$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.04	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Heroic	49c	130.9$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.63	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic	54c	126.4$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.06	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Heroic	70c	125.78$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Heroic	46c	118$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.32	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+14.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic	64c	111.89$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ	37c	107.66$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.29	654	41.9%274 W · 380 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic	12c	103.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Heroic	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+11.0wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Heroic	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Heroic	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Heroic	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	377	54.9%207 W · 170 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Heroic	12c	99.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+14.2wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed MOUZ	55c	99.32$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.84	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Heroic	62c	94.67$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.66	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsMOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event