Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b1f2084d79caf58e8e1f2e280e6139637ba52d8f84f23e57815bd3641fa3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 19c | 6,277$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Heroic | 58c | 5,966$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic | 51c | 5,085$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.55 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,360$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.39 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,259$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.57 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,468$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.39 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 2,947$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.31 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic | 52c | 2,315$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.47 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,197$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.49 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 27c | 2,090$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,073$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.92 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Heroic | 54c | 1,782$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.12 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Heroic | 70c | 1,529$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.64 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Heroic | 1c | 1,421$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 61c | 1,218$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.19 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,155$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 45c | 1,140$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,040$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.91 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Heroic | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Heroic | 28c | 997.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 17c | 978.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 849.69$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.77 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 44c | 841.9$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 52c | 810.86$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic | 60c | 786.29$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 51c | 777.32$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed MOUZ | 43c | 743.09$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.76 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Heroic | 54c | 720.71$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 45c | 654.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 46c | 628.76$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.53 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic | 34c | 605.22$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 55c | 566.12$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Heroic | 44c | 550$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 41c | 470.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic | 51c | 464.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Heroic | 58c | 435.22$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed MOUZ | 62c | 421.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 34c | 399.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked MOUZ | 51c | 388.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Heroic | 50c | 388.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1262backed MOUZ | 51c | 387.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 51c | 377.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Heroic | 52c | 368.62$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic | 16c | 352.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 64c | 347.65$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed MOUZ | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Heroic | 59c | 299.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 45c | 282.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 36c | 264.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 41c | 252.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Heroic | 59c | 249.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ | 36c | 240.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Heroic | 45c | 231.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 44c | 218.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Heroic | 20c | 187.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic | 38c | 161.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Heroic | 15c | 147.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 43c | 146.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Heroic | 67c | 123.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed MOUZ | 40c | 121.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Heroic | 45c | 120.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed MOUZ | 42c | 119.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Heroic | 41c | 116.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Heroic | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 114.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed MOUZ | 21c | 106$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 34c | 105.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed MOUZ | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 102.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed MOUZ | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Heroic | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MOUZ | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Heroic | 24c | 89.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Heroic | 54c | 88.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed MOUZ | 42c | 87.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 30c | 86.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic | 58c | 84.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic | 58c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed MOUZ | 49c | 79.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed MOUZ | 49c | 79.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 42c | 76.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…8b41backed Heroic | 55c | 70.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Heroic | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed MOUZ | 51c | 69.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed MOUZ | 28c | 68.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 67.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 43c | 67.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ | 58c | 61.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Heroic | 46c | 61.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.