TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37e7…04a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$27.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$12.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$7.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$23.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$21.02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$8.45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5.53
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4173.2%30 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.54
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nix Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bbacked by Owl Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.54
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Stray Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$40.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$7.25
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.52
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$8.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.