Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a4ca62664cc07363d60435573e6537ddd4446f5815723f04d9e08650116228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nix Teamof Nix Team, Recrent Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Recrent Team | 21c | 1,109$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nix Team | 79c | 1,031$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Recrent Team | 22c | 753.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Recrent Team | 29c | 515.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nix Team | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Nix Team | 78c | 193.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nix Team | 73c | 192.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Recrent Team | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Recrent Team | 35c | 136.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nix Team | 66c | 106$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Nix Team | 80c | 104.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nix Team | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Nix Team | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Recrent Team | 41c | 65.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Nix Team | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Recrent Team | 36c | 49.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nix Team | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…ff97backed Nix Team | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…ca5fbacked Nix Team | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…0b10backed Nix Team | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nix Team | 56c | 34.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…c9e9backed Nix Team | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nix Team | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…d8b5backed Nix Team | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Nix Team | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nix Team | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group ARecrent Team won
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 1 WinnerRecrent Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.