Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4abe94743355244dddc938c8019a93d2adfa955a18bd08b9fc91eac755204b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Recrent Teamof Nix Team, Recrent Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nix Team | 2c | 634.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Recrent Team | 33c | 303.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Recrent Team | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Recrent Team | 33c | 232.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Recrent Team | 18c | 175.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Recrent Team | 32c | 158.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nix Team | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Recrent Team | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Nix Team | 69c | 143.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Recrent Team | 25c | 142.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nix Team | 67c | 134.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…2f43backed Nix Team | 58c | 131.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Nix Team | 73c | 126$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…fe2fbacked Nix Team | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Recrent Team | 46c | 113.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Recrent Team | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Recrent Team | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Recrent Team | 29c | 102.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Recrent Team | 53c | 102.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nix Team | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nix Team | 55c | 99.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Nix Team | 69c | 99.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Nix Team | 46c | 98.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Recrent Team | 33c | 95.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Recrent Team | 58c | 86.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Nix Team | 71c | 77.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Recrent Team | 22c | 77.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Recrent Team | 35c | 76.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…96babacked Nix Team | 67c | 74.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Nix Team | 52c | 70.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…d8b5backed Nix Team | 52c | 64.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Recrent Team | 34c | 62.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…b3fabacked Recrent Team | 47c | 61.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Recrent Team | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Recrent Team | 45c | 58.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Recrent Team | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Nix Team | 62c | 53.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Nix Team | 70c | 51.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…a8c8backed Recrent Team | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Recrent Team | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nix Team | 67c | 46.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Recrent Team | 31c | 43.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1d8dbacked Recrent Team | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…abfebacked Recrent Team | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…5138backed Nix Team | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…c9e9backed Nix Team | 52c | 36.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…aacfbacked Recrent Team | 31c | 35.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked Nix Team | 68c | 35.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nix Team | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…41e9backed Recrent Team | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Nix Team | 74c | 27.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…d3d0backed Nix Team | 79c | 25.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…0473backed Nix Team | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…80fbbacked Nix Team | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Nix Team | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…22d2backed Nix Team | 69c | 18.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nix Team | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Nix Team | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 1 WinnerRecrent Team won
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 2 WinnerNix Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.