TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd071…92cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.02
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$30.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$35.88
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27%+$28.3
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$17.96
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$12.84
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.22
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$15.77
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$28.54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$13.18
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$11.25
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+314.5%+$37.46
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$32.71
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$21.62
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$23.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$23.47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$20.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$27.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.94
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked Stariy Bog Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked by Owl Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked SoloTeam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$20.99
Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 Winnerbacked SoloTeam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Abacked Recrent Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$24.61
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.