Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaeae67dae924baa5223fb0bb4a1fcba195f78b96c1293c5074bdc495ada194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TPaBoMaH Clubof Stariy Bog Club, TPaBoMaH Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 48c | 1,556$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.8 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Stariy Bog Club | 45c | 977.67$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.32 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed TPaBoMaH Club | 60c | 697.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Stariy Bog Club | 49c | 556$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Stariy Bog Club | 66c | 310.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Stariy Bog Club | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62df…c811backed Stariy Bog Club | 67c | 300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TPaBoMaH Club | 34c | 219.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf5…75efbacked Stariy Bog Club | 51c | 198.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TPaBoMaH Club | 50c | 191.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Stariy Bog Club | 48c | 190.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TPaBoMaH Club | 37c | 183.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Stariy Bog Club | 57c | 137.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 45c | 122.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Stariy Bog Club | 49c | 117.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked TPaBoMaH Club | 53c | 108.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Stariy Bog Club | 23c | 106.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TPaBoMaH Club | 46c | 50.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed TPaBoMaH Club | 67c | 49.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed TPaBoMaH Club | 54c | 41.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Stariy Bog Club | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed TPaBoMaH Club | 73c | 34.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TPaBoMaH Club | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Stariy Bog Club | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked TPaBoMaH Club | 73c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club - Game 1 WinnerTPaBoMaH Club won
- Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club - Game 2 WinnerTPaBoMaH Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.