NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5d898595b3445dd3809896302889cd512411fa8306de609d9d8aa34e257ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,991,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,991,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…5bdbbacked Yes | 0c | 215,300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…3818backed Yes | 0c | 148,272$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…591bbacked Yes | 0c | 146,224$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…3823backed Yes | 0c | 145,388$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81eb…a3e3backed Yes | 0c | 139,365$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…306bbacked Yes | 0c | 138,393$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…bacdbacked Yes | 0c | 135,880$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…f4eebacked Yes | 0c | 128,679$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4515…0db9backed Yes | 0c | 127,869$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…e8babacked Yes | 0c | 127,280$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…35cbbacked Yes | 0c | 119,435$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…079cbacked Yes | 0c | 118,539$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146f…e7d5backed Yes | 0c | 117,971$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…34fabacked Yes | 0c | 117,809$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e7…327dbacked Yes | 0c | 117,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…8d97backed Yes | 0c | 116,562$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…53bebacked Yes | 0c | 116,562$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…dc9bbacked Yes | 0c | 116,559$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…f932backed Yes | 0c | 116,423$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…bfd9backed Yes | 0c | 116,225$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…a77abacked Yes | 0c | 115,807$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…38a4backed Yes | 0c | 114,764$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…9441backed Yes | 0c | 114,257$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…b76cbacked Yes | 0c | 114,257$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa034…74fbbacked Yes | 0c | 114,230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…5d21backed Yes | 0c | 114,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…7236backed Yes | 0c | 113,829$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ee…9cf3backed Yes | 0c | 113,349$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…7ae2backed Yes | 0c | 113,233$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9461backed Yes | 0c | 113,115$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…50d1backed Yes | 0c | 112,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…5a28backed Yes | 0c | 111,410$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…e6e6backed Yes | 0c | 111,060$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…b505backed Yes | 0c | 110,630$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…9aa3backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…6554backed Yes | 0c | 109,780$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…2495backed Yes | 0c | 109,280$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…b408backed Yes | 0c | 105,100$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…6c41backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 98,493$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.28 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…6428backed Yes | 0c | 81,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…4c80backed Yes | 0c | 73,440$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…cb2dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…0abcbacked Yes | 0c | 42,221$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…df51backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…9644backed Yes | 0c | 37,542$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…3264backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 35,124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…c4f7backed Yes | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 32,380$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…10f1backed Yes | 0c | 31,370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 0c | 30,314$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Yes | 0c | 30,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…50d2backed Yes | 0c | 27,522$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…3d32backed Yes | 0c | 27,522$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 0c | 22,288$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…4e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,502$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Yes | 0c | 17,874$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7667…e90dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,848$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,930$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 1c | 14,597$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 14,288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…447abacked Yes | 0c | 11,476$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…ffd2backed Yes | 0c | 11,476$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…d3cfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,404$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…cafdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,680$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 0c | 8,348$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 5,922$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 5c | 5,625$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 7c | 4,751$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,406$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 6c | 4,071$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes | 0c | 3,954$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 0c | 2,918$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…483bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,671$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…d666backed Yes | 1c | 2,670$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…0348backed Yes | 1c | 2,618$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 8c | 2,439$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…486cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,305$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8141…461cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,283$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 2,062$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,026$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,961$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…5471backed Yes | 4c | 1,948$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…8934backed Yes | 6c | 1,548$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…141fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,329$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 6c | 1,223$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 4c | 715$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked Yes | 2c | 691.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…65d8backed Yes | 5c | 621.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…e001backed Yes | 5c | 610.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 7c | 595.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4764…0d87backed Yes | 5c | 499.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 6c | 423.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Yes | 4c | 409.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Yes | 7c | 403.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9617backed Yes | 8c | 363.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.