NBA · resolved market
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9215ac1b5d18ecd3bdc4e91942674146385871bdd14ff0578acd126c9b5a083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,118,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,675,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,118,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 114,130$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Yes | 0c | 105,640$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…ac64backed Yes | 0c | 103,761$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8587…acaabacked Yes | 0c | 76,479$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…af8abacked Yes | 0c | 75,182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…104dbacked Yes | 0c | 66,266$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 0c | 65,424$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…3499backed Yes | 0c | 63,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…82c0backed Yes | 0c | 62,008$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…44acbacked Yes | 0c | 56,785$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Yes | 2c | 55,579$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…ef78backed Yes | 0c | 55,102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…ec3abacked Yes | 0c | 54,240$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Yes | 0c | 52,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 51,396$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…ba76backed Yes | 0c | 51,290$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…4cd2backed Yes | 0c | 50,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 31,721$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 29,613$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 26,459$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 24,741$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9617backed Yes | 1c | 23,538$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,282$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 16,229$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 3c | 16,219$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,163$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 11,520$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…b650backed Yes | 0c | 11,439$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b5…ff2ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,699$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…957fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,699$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Yes | 1c | 10,646$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e9…f300backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…622ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,189$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,184$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…2db7backed Yes | 1c | 10,127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 9,569$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 9,102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 8,611$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 2c | 7,333$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…3b6abacked Yes | 0c | 7,041$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…7884backed Yes | 0c | 7,041$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…dd21backed Yes | 0c | 7,041$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…5f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,041$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,664$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Yes | 0c | 6,521$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…ac71backed Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b546backed Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…e9f4backed Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…6634backed Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…fdcebacked Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…bf2cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…7b9dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…d6c0backed Yes | 0c | 6,063$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 5,864$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 2c | 5,063$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…c54abacked Yes | 0c | 5,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Yes | 1c | 4,995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 1c | 4,909$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 4,829$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 4,485$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8c…7026backed Yes | 2c | 4,337$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Yes | 1c | 4,204$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…2826backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…7d18backed Yes | 1c | 4,064$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…ba6bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,012$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 1c | 3,952$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb5…11babacked Yes | 2c | 3,867$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 1c | 3,852$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…4ed8backed Yes | 1c | 3,745$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…2802backed Yes | 1c | 3,700$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b44…5efbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,676$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…74dcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,672$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…73fbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,672$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…fe2ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…7de2backed Yes | 1c | 3,591$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 3,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…3a66backed Yes | 0c | 3,488$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Yes | 1c | 3,431$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6aa…e302backed Yes | 0c | 3,428$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…67cdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76c…440cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,369$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 1c | 3,367$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…9b20backed Yes | 0c | 3,353$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…a09fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,337$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 3,060$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 1c | 3,010$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed Yes | 1c | 2,890$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…705ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,818$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…41f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,751$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.