TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88fe…104d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.27
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.85
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10.3
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.93
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.57
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.67
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$56
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.98
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.62
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.32
Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$91.76
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$75.82
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.