NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbacc524bdbeddd8d9de018c6328a7b0dce23bfa8facd4bfc25039bd58d707c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 39c | 43,690$17,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,038.91 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 39c | 5,684$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.64 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 49c | 3,059$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 3,052$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 51c | 3,020$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.97 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 61c | 2,354$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.06 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 38c | 1,374$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 38c | 1,096$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 39c | 858.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 40c | 691.58$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 535.43$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 344.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 281.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 280.56$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed Over | 62c | 247.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 56c | 188.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 23c | 177.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 50c | 165.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 163.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 39c | 145.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Under | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 139.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 38c | 133.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 44c | 129.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 117.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 109.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 56c | 100.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…7c7bbacked Over | 79c | 94.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Under | 39c | 76.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 40c | 76.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Under | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…8e5dbacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 60.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…e45abacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 59c | 45.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…b217backed Under | 42c | 39.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 30c | 38.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…a984backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 40c | 34.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Over | 48c | 31.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 29.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…3499backed Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…e2cdbacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 27.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 39c | 27.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…55a7backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Under | 43c | 26.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…9877backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…d55bbacked Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…6882backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 23.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 59c | 23.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…b1ccbacked Over | 57c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…365dbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…104dbacked Over | 59c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-5.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.