TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c1,637$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over43c1,361$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6930944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under51c1,316$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6716953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c1,224$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.036352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,201$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.112,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c1,038$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8322946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c937.23$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.622334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c860.05$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c707.92$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…83e0backed Under57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c9…c57dbacked Over50c563.92$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe03d…03e0backed Over51c563.15$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c60…123ebacked Under53c541.55$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…2e13backed Under52c538.06$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6097…e85bbacked Over49c536.41$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…3ef3backed Under51c533.53$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c448.97$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c390.83$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c349.84$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.429856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c348$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c341.53$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.691,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c308$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb9…a81cbacked Over47c219.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a46…c803backed Under53c219.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7889…cd3abacked Over47c216.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc310…23a3backed Over47c216$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3195…d4bebacked Under53c216$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae58…ed56backed Over48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over47c213.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.085358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8a…9fabbacked Under53c211$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c94…4922backed Over48c210.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…00b7backed Under53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe7…379abacked Under53c209$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98c…fa04backed Over47c208.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1a…82aebacked Under53c208$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b43…4558backed Over47c206.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dda…3cb9backed Under53c204$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a9…6cb8backed Over49c203.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x618d…70e8backed Under53c202.55$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e3…41d9backed Under53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c200.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.412,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cb…e9eebacked Over47c200.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd136…705fbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df8…d68cbacked Over47c198.73$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over46c194.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.238849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c31…c5cabacked Over48c194.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under26c188$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.362,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d70…afebbacked Under54c187.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c182.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5442948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over33c164.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c146.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.631,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.17152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c136.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564535.6%16 W · 29 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7419141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under53c92.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under52c85.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.428854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2551…217cbacked Under53c83.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c76.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under57c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.247739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a9…9cbcbacked Over47c68.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5687…3486backed Under52c64.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1816443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under54c58.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.563050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under26c53.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.042944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under51c50.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2643250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…aea3backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Under42c36.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.414436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5111…72a4backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbee…bcc6backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under53c31.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.794454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over52c31.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.118964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Under57c30.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.192564%16 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.615349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over48c29.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.314856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7363…1198backed Over47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c43…5659backed Under52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under56c26.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f9e…2fd5backed Over47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb109…04debacked Over47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…d3f2backed Over47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…9ec2backed Over47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c2…94babacked Under52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc459…ac19backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.