NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a806d8b8db6cd80bf9ba45a0a000386bade50c2c51ad78302ba14447c917c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $964,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $977,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 484,988$227,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,043.85 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 403,721$213,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,972.11 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 47c | 95,214$44,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,763.41 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 53c | 93,189$49,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,739.66 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.98 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 17,532$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,276.06 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 17,532$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,276.06 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 14,503$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.15 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 47c | 9,425$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 46c | 8,888$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.52 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 6,789$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.97 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 47c | 5,830$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.93 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 5,163$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.8 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 4,754$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.99 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 3,169$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.33 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 47c | 3,132$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.76 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Under | 55c | 2,369$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Over | 46c | 1,939$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,764$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.07 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 1,371$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.11 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 1,239$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 1,097$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.36 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 54c | 1,009$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 47c | 932.16$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…32c7backed Under | 28c | 898.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 8c | 874.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 819.91$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 737.43$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 55c | 727.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 47c | 721.03$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 47c | 712.53$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.88 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 47c | 692.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 46c | 681$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 47c | 633.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 47c | 617.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 47c | 527.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 47c | 447.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 47c | 426.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 47c | 388$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 47c | 364$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 54c | 352$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 47c | 343.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 315.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 54c | 309.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 46c | 277.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 53c | 276.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 65c | 272.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 47c | 259.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 53c | 257$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 54c | 252.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 43c | 249.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 53c | 240.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Under | 54c | 237$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 54c | 234.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 232.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 47c | 225.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 47c | 216.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 196.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 46c | 192.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 191.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…bfebbacked Under | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 74c | 178.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Over | 72c | 173.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…104dbacked Over | 46c | 169.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 76c | 169$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 53c | 166.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Over | 47c | 153.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 152.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 150.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 46c | 149.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Over | 47c | 148.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 46c | 138.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 47c | 123.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 118.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. DucksBlues won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.