TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$970,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,095 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues45c188,224$83,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,356.091,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Ducks56c169,930$94,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,524.967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blues44c53,688$23,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,102.9140351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Blues45c45,079$20,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,700.8310647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues44c34,458$15,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,294.581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks55c24,810$13,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,546.152,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Ducks55c23,624$12,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,992.941656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Ducks56c23,159$12,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,969.3136748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Ducks55c16,939$9,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,316.5212047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks54c15,100$8,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,216.212,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Ducks57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5503450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Ducks54c14,613$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.9451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks54c14,168$7,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,650.931,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blues46c13,535$6,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,352.3441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks28c12,802$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.1758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Blues45c12,800$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0402552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blues44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues68c12,235$8,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.1189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Blues48c11,446$5,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.2819759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blues48c11,040$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,761.4718853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…6503backed Blues44c11,000$4,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,186.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blues46c10,872$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.9637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blues48c10,092$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,214.427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Ducks55c9,136$5,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.7620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Ducks56c9,089$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0901643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Blues43c9,046$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.3717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues43c8,999$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.7150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Blues65c8,878$5,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks54c8,020$4,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.821,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Ducks56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Ducks55c7,916$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.0511553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks56c7,704$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.2475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blues44c7,613$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.4661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks55c7,375$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.331,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks57c7,313$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Ducks55c6,810$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.397358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues44c6,289$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.8889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks26c6,144$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.9133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Ducks57c6,000$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.55756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Ducks53c5,896$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4b9…9999backed Ducks56c5,500$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues44c5,352$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.741,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Ducks56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Ducks56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Ducks55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues73c4,604$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.241,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Ducks55c4,560$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.972347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Ducks4c4,478$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1816442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Blues44c4,350$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43614954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fb…32c7backed Blues46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ducks36c4,128$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.2227037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Blues44c4,091$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.915446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks19c3,943$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blues45c3,837$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.3540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks56c3,600$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.0443548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blues45c3,600$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Ducks56c3,589$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.927163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks37c3,529$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.941,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Ducks71c3,354$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Blues46c3,185$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.5713252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Blues43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Ducks54c2,800$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5145950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580a…5f14backed Ducks56c2,798$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…dc6fbacked Ducks57c2,685$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…01c5backed Ducks57c2,640$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Ducks56c2,517$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ducks56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.989751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks22c2,279$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51243743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Ducks18c2,245$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.417739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks56c2,222$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.3286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Ducks57c2,048$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.365541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blues44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Blues45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Ducks56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Blues43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.982958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ducks56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9620450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Ducks56c1,965$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues43c1,870$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks44c1,857$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.542,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Ducks55c1,846$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.2741354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ducks55c1,840$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Blues44c1,803$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.684045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Blues45c1,800$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9907149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Ducks56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0084748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Ducks5c1,722$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.967047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Blues63c1,706$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.275276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Ducks15c1,603$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9910941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Blues47c1,502$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.2314062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Blues45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ducks37c1,406$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.212,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x098f…2296backed Ducks4c1,395$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Ducks52c1,380$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3512653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…e6d4backed Ducks28c1,376$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Blues44c1,350$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7614652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.