Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82669901de7cb0be25c1d8de39fbbe8e2ddc0aacba0a30a663ed13c3b9eb06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,537,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,537,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8614…4bddbacked Yes | 0c | 2,099,171$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…eeafbacked Yes | 0c | 2,072,138$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,024,375$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…a86cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,024,345$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…c2a9backed Yes | 0c | 2,024,301$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…6489backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…5cd2backed Yes | 0c | 199,892$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…3e6dbacked Yes | 0c | 199,892$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…7ef6backed Yes | 0c | 199,892$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…eb41backed Yes | 0c | 199,892$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 191,838$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aeb…27ffbacked Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…d801backed Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…2470backed Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…1adebacked Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a0…cb7ebacked Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…3b7bbacked Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…2813backed Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…0069backed Yes | 0c | 173,617$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 0c | 99,729$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…1ac9backed Yes | 0c | 94,040$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…93f2backed Yes | 0c | 94,026$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2e…7fc6backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…5937backed Yes | 0c | 68,786$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…06f4backed Yes | 0c | 68,481$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…c180backed Yes | 0c | 68,462$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…3b48backed Yes | 0c | 68,313$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…815dbacked Yes | 0c | 68,143$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd893…4bfabacked Yes | 0c | 67,761$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe2…3cb8backed Yes | 0c | 67,731$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…6d35backed Yes | 0c | 67,651$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…f409backed Yes | 0c | 67,479$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…f180backed Yes | 0c | 67,458$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…bf91backed Yes | 0c | 67,452$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…21dcbacked Yes | 0c | 67,449$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…999abacked Yes | 0c | 67,426$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a8…75c4backed Yes | 0c | 67,295$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…7435backed Yes | 0c | 67,282$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32c…23b4backed Yes | 0c | 67,166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…5aadbacked Yes | 0c | 66,980$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…9af2backed Yes | 0c | 66,888$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…5ca6backed Yes | 0c | 66,857$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…bacabacked Yes | 0c | 66,795$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…9f6dbacked Yes | 0c | 66,748$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1067backed Yes | 0c | 65,913$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…ba46backed Yes | 0c | 65,912$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…bdfbbacked Yes | 0c | 63,365$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 62,583$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…bd66backed Yes | 0c | 61,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…b4eebacked Yes | 0c | 60,361$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…7674backed Yes | 0c | 60,187$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…b247backed Yes | 0c | 60,085$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…3591backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…1332backed Yes | 0c | 59,603$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…49abbacked Yes | 0c | 59,386$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…9995backed Yes | 0c | 59,343$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…b884backed Yes | 0c | 59,326$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…2257backed Yes | 0c | 59,293$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa8…3ddbbacked Yes | 0c | 59,113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…d8ecbacked Yes | 0c | 58,846$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…4c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 58,823$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…7ce0backed Yes | 0c | 58,787$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…79b5backed Yes | 0c | 58,775$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…18e5backed Yes | 0c | 58,467$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…a1dabacked Yes | 0c | 58,380$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…d3cabacked Yes | 0c | 58,320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…3ae3backed Yes | 0c | 58,195$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…2b15backed Yes | 0c | 58,194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd884…dd77backed Yes | 0c | 58,126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…77c8backed Yes | 0c | 57,960$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…2de8backed Yes | 0c | 57,939$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…d0debacked Yes | 0c | 57,830$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…c34ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,783$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…ab60backed Yes | 0c | 57,726$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…db9fbacked Yes | 0c | 57,706$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…49cbbacked Yes | 0c | 57,608$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…17cebacked Yes | 0c | 57,573$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c10…1a8bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,551$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…5b1ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,481$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…66a6backed Yes | 0c | 57,127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…4144backed Yes | 0c | 57,056$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 57,052$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…7444backed Yes | 0c | 57,042$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…32a2backed Yes | 0c | 57,020$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…78d7backed Yes | 0c | 57,020$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…a868backed Yes | 0c | 57,017$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…bd98backed Yes | 0c | 57,012$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…2eb4backed Yes | 0c | 56,988$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…566bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,954$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…47ffbacked Yes | 0c | 56,942$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…481cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,875$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785e…7b32backed Yes | 0c | 56,823$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b5…f42abacked Yes | 0c | 56,762$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…52cbbacked Yes | 0c | 56,706$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…2127backed Yes | 0c | 56,649$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…19a1backed Yes | 0c | 56,590$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…6b32backed Yes | 0c | 56,491$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…e1d3backed Yes | 0c | 56,485$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…4c10backed Yes | 0c | 56,453$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…a270backed Yes | 0c | 56,448$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?this page
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.