Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d83f444f62b2afe0cb28485073cbf3617400d58813cd351cd4d242560ac47f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,577,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,577,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec9f…21bdbacked Yes | 0c | 438,447$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…e9f4backed Yes | 0c | 438,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…9adebacked Yes | 0c | 438,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…1b01backed Yes | 0c | 438,195$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…88b9backed Yes | 0c | 438,195$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…0f19backed Yes | 0c | 437,544$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…3e74backed Yes | 0c | 437,452$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…9998backed Yes | 0c | 437,447$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6446…a2a3backed Yes | 0c | 360,404$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…2dd7backed Yes | 0c | 360,404$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…47cebacked Yes | 0c | 344,288$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…a277backed Yes | 0c | 307,199$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…e1dabacked Yes | 0c | 305,782$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…1f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 256,646$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…4cb9backed Yes | 0c | 256,646$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…a3cabacked Yes | 0c | 256,646$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…68c5backed Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…184abacked Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…23dbbacked Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…78cabacked Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…c002backed Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…f3f2backed Yes | 0c | 251,835$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…64a2backed Yes | 0c | 130,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…535cbacked Yes | 0c | 116,532$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Yes | 0c | 111,629$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…cca3backed Yes | 0c | 111,600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Yes | 0c | 109,721$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f3…f96dbacked Yes | 0c | 101,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…10c2backed Yes | 0c | 100,810$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…a0bfbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…2264backed Yes | 0c | 97,464$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…0b74backed Yes | 0c | 97,140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…c951backed Yes | 0c | 97,040$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…a96cbacked Yes | 0c | 95,166$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…ba0abacked Yes | 0c | 92,869$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…4627backed Yes | 0c | 91,619$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…1b1dbacked Yes | 0c | 91,041$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…054ebacked Yes | 0c | 89,160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…4d12backed Yes | 0c | 87,201$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 86,950$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…90c0backed Yes | 0c | 86,132$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…3ca9backed Yes | 0c | 85,622$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…0804backed Yes | 0c | 83,873$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…4515backed Yes | 0c | 82,411$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6fb7backed Yes | 0c | 82,351$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…797dbacked Yes | 0c | 81,244$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…6f1fbacked Yes | 0c | 81,048$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…c3bdbacked Yes | 0c | 80,432$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…3f14backed Yes | 0c | 79,834$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…ad98backed Yes | 0c | 79,706$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…ca06backed Yes | 0c | 79,247$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…5cc2backed Yes | 0c | 77,885$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…d006backed Yes | 0c | 77,247$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…44f2backed Yes | 0c | 76,130$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1dd3backed Yes | 0c | 75,123$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 0c | 74,016$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a6…7d02backed Yes | 0c | 72,705$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…36b6backed Yes | 0c | 72,627$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…5d86backed Yes | 0c | 71,086$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…39d7backed Yes | 0c | 69,478$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…9876backed Yes | 0c | 67,692$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…5defbacked Yes | 0c | 67,559$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…05b4backed Yes | 0c | 66,997$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…e10bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,247$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…3bedbacked Yes | 0c | 64,681$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…b262backed Yes | 0c | 64,459$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…15b1backed Yes | 0c | 63,509$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8c4backed Yes | 0c | 62,077$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…068cbacked Yes | 0c | 62,050$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…073fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,869$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…29ccbacked Yes | 0c | 61,563$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6ffcbacked Yes | 0c | 61,478$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…55dcbacked Yes | 0c | 61,448$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…b694backed Yes | 0c | 61,321$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de5…290bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,262$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…5a11backed Yes | 0c | 60,953$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…7bdcbacked Yes | 0c | 60,857$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…45d5backed Yes | 0c | 60,480$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…e81bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,407$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…89e0backed Yes | 0c | 60,368$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…378fbacked Yes | 0c | 60,138$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c28…7ba7backed Yes | 0c | 60,084$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…d9d8backed Yes | 0c | 59,955$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…2740backed Yes | 0c | 59,929$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…2e32backed Yes | 0c | 59,822$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…f3a2backed Yes | 0c | 59,574$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…1e87backed Yes | 0c | 59,571$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…e055backed Yes | 0c | 59,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…19d7backed Yes | 0c | 59,459$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…965ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,398$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…3934backed Yes | 0c | 59,356$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…6144backed Yes | 0c | 59,325$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…3c6ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,286$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…a47bbacked Yes | 0c | 59,220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…c315backed Yes | 0c | 59,193$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b5…b7a4backed Yes | 0c | 59,114$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…c956backed Yes | 0c | 59,102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…941ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,096$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…5264backed Yes | 0c | 59,028$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…2200backed Yes | 0c | 58,979$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?this page
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.