TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c8,309$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c4,067$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over51c2,919$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c2,512$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.0824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c2,480$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,290$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Over52c2,250$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16014455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c2,241$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14319359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over57c2,231$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2748756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c1,839$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.8920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,704$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…03a4backed Over51c1,655$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over51c1,428$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.219952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,273$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c1,258$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,175$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c1,102$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c1,095$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over55c1,070$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.0910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over51c1,021$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.6629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under44c1,015$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c914.26$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c807.93$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under47c777.4$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Under52c776.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.585354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c560.29$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over55c535$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c529$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c419.9$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x513d…c44cbacked Over51c392.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.421735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c334.21$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c310.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over54c308$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Over53c294.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c290.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c258.27$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c243.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.251,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over50c213.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.945034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over13c212$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3343447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea0e…6aabbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over51c195.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Under55c181.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c169.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Over55c153.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c131.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over51c112.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1412146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under45c109.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.058347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.713038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under49c101.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0235849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c100.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under56c98.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…0b62backed Over50c89.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.854158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under47c76.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3946255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c76.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under45c67.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1612845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over50c66.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.267142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over44c62.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3515449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under71c54.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7662047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under51c50.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52cc…74e3backed Over53c47.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over51c38.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.837945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c37.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4526450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7918242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over50c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c29.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.362,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fe…104dbacked Under46c21.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.853438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over51c20.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.553349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ca…f29ebacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5614471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.