NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ea0179a3ad6bea10c6439ba7ce5fc81dee44c5bd89e5b007fd24d753936569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 59c | 1,684$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 1,608$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.51 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 1,389$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 860.09$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 791.41$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 53c | 535.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 53c | 498.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 42c | 432.22$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 379.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 368.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 42c | 357.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…74a8backed Over | 52c | 214.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…b011backed Under | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…542bbacked Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…cf6ebacked Over | 52c | 207.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…a2e4backed Under | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…ea37backed Over | 52c | 201.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…e03abacked Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…03cebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…333dbacked Over | 52c | 198.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…a78ebacked Over | 52c | 196.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…09b6backed Under | 48c | 195$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8300…698ebacked Over | 52c | 194.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…846cbacked Over | 52c | 193.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…5618backed Under | 48c | 193$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…13a6backed Under | 48c | 193$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…362ebacked Over | 52c | 191.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…ef44backed Over | 52c | 186.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…c321backed Under | 48c | 186$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…e24fbacked Over | 52c | 184.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…780abacked Under | 48c | 181$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 179.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 53c | 167.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 46c | 163.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 150.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 61c | 138.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 114.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 103.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 46c | 86.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 80.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 40c | 64.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 56c | 53.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 44c | 50.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 44.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 55c | 40.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 45c | 34.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 55c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 46c | 28.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 17.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.