NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2527499471def45990258bbdb9f6bcb44a7ff1f307f0986d14bc22b9ec996517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Over | 51c | 173,909$88,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,570.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 118,224$57,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,294.08 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$12,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,998.52 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 20,308$10,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,256.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 49c | 16,002$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.4 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 10,154$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 5,081$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.64 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 4,581$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 4,145$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.11 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 51c | 2,546$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 2,385$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.65 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,319$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 2,077$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,022$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.29 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,660$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.53 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 1,582$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.27 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,490$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 1,181$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 1,121$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.34 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 972.02$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.43 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 842$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Under | 51c | 782.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 763.33$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 51c | 627.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 626.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 587$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 54c | 559.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 431.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Over | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 345$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 333.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 49c | 306.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 282.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 48c | 282.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 282.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 48c | 282.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 53c | 277.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 256.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4638…aa0ebacked Over | 26c | 242.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 12c | 232.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 48c | 226.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 210.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 207.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 48c | 206.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 52c | 202.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Over | 50c | 199.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 48c | 196.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…3e27backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 6c | 177.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 50c | 173.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 152.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 150.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…6aabbacked Over | 48c | 124.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 119.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 51c | 101.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Over | 50c | 97.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 53c | 96.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 51c | 78.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 77.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 49c | 74.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 50c | 72.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 48c | 70.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 63.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…4da1backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 53.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 48c | 50.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Over | 52c | 50.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 48.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 50c | 42.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 42.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…8b89backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…b743backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…0169backed Under | 53c | 39.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.