TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a0…9a09backed Over51c173,909$88,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,570.843560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c118,224$57,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,294.0866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,998.521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c20,308$10,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under49c16,002$7,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c10,154$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.342,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c5,081$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.6418749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c4,581$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c4,145$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.1120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under51c2,546$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.755349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c2,385$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.6537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,319$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c2,077$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.51,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c2,022$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9406357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c1,835$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.2970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,660$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c1,582$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,490$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.381,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,181$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c1,121$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c972.02$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.4389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c842$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Under51c782.16$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c763.33$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c627.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c626.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.931,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over51c587$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3725049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over54c559.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c520$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.521,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c431.95$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.592,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Over50c402$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under48c345$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c333.88$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9479549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c306.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15919435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c282.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.771,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c282.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c282.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.771,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under48c282.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under53c277.36$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3621550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c256.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over26c242.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over12c232.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under48c226.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c210.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c207.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under48c206.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.515848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under52c202.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.415240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over50c199.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c196.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2924151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…3e27backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over6c177.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1762047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over50c173.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.952334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c152.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c150.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.551,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.522748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0e…6aabbacked Over48c124.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under48c119.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under51c101.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.747455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Over50c97.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.943423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over53c96.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2326043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Under51c78.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.443545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c77.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under49c74.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2448852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over50c72.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under48c70.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5713346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under47c68.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0948152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c63.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.131,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under49c59.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1525245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8432747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed Over51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c53.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under48c50.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2519650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…60ccbacked Over52c50.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over49c48.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.926638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over50c42.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.256546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c42.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a27…8b89backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed Over49c40.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Under53c39.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6913452.2%70 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.