NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a2584fdff4d6933aa0b391c8601c037662682895f71206ad19e955b743f11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 12,648$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 11,586$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 5,497$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 1,812$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.6 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,578$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,008$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 998.39$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.13 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 44c | 707.05$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.35 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 61c | 560$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 36c | 559.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 29c | 523.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 38c | 503.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 38c | 471.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…c7ecbacked Under | 43c | 439.79$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 37c | 428.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Over | 55c | 397.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 57c | 389.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 371$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 56c | 313$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 291$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 67c | 289.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 269.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 57c | 267.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Over | 40c | 248.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 242.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 34c | 237.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 38c | 228.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Under | 43c | 219.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 10c | 209.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 43c | 206$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 38c | 203.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 42c | 196.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 195.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 39c | 188.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 40c | 181$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 59c | 170.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 38c | 169.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 43c | 168.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 52c | 160.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 152.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 40c | 150.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 148.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 39c | 128.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 67c | 122.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 39c | 120.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 35c | 114.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 55c | 111.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Over | 65c | 107.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 106.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 55c | 101.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 65c | 99.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8262backed Under | 47c | 98.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 91.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 61c | 80.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 48c | 78.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 77.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 76.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 66.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Under | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 40c | 58.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 57c | 52.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 40c | 49.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 72c | 47.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 36c | 45.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Under | 42c | 44.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 40.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 40.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 48c | 38.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.