TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c4,534$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c3,411$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c2,409$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under48c2,273$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.8117850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c2,251$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c2,063$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.8614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,857$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,690$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c1,401$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under49c1,231$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7616953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over55c1,210$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,080$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over47c1,059$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c1,006$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Over53c944.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over52c845$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over54c789.25$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c734.24$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over56c719.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c669.48$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over19c557.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5426638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under74c538.47$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c487$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c484.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under48c459.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.189346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under44c453.33$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c436$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c411$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c385$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x918d…1462backed Over53c299.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over53c295.37$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Over7c274.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c261$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c238.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under45c229$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9511453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c3…80cfbacked Over51c217.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6947…0effbacked Under50c217$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c216.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…0689backed Over51c214.09$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96f…defabacked Under49c214$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8153…c43abacked Over50c211.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…7272backed Over51c211.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55b…b5c9backed Over50c211.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…c7d1backed Under49c211$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fd…e5c5backed Under49c208$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e68…5342backed Under50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715a…6413backed Over51c205.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1991…9a9bbacked Under50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c3…47eabacked Over51c204.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9029…43ebbacked Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…94b0backed Under50c201$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…2293backed Over50c199.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4f…fdf7backed Over50c195.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f1…2cc4backed Over50c195.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…e63cbacked Under50c193$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…0677backed Under50c193$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cbb…1334backed Under50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9830…75debacked Over50c185.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c185.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a7…9bbcbacked Under49c184$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…9797backed Over50c183.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bc…7b2cbacked Over51c182.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cf…741abacked Under50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under46c180.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7413148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over58c172.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.274641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over51c158.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under44c152$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1222351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under48c139.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9818744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over23c106.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fe…9d95backed Under49c86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c85.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under46c81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7215…5f06backed Over50c73.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under45c58.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0436949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c58.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under45c54.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under49c49.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0512541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over28c48.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c47.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under45c47.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9220049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under48c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4420249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9722…3e81backed Under45c46.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.673756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under47c45.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0713038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Under47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.326442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.