TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,004,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,111,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,004,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks49c444,444$217,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226,666.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers51c396,682$202,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,307.9287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers50c245,460$122,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,596.61,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Mavericks50c151,525$75,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,762.4716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks50c101,184$50,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,803.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Trail Blazers51c58,824$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,999.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks50c25,579$12,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,789.641,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Trail Blazers50c18,455$9,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,273.511543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers51c12,000$6,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,109.31,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Trail Blazers51c10,424$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,31615141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers49c9,405$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers30c8,275$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks51c7,740$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks60c7,486$4,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks51c5,930$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.571,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers50c5,500$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Mavericks50c5,221$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13b1…babfbacked Trail Blazers51c5,196$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0227…13e8backed Mavericks49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b95…1991backed Mavericks49c4,898$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9fe…1fcdbacked Trail Blazers51c4,804$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Mavericks51c4,549$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.251,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Mavericks51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Trail Blazers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Trail Blazers50c3,844$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers49c3,059$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2bc…4017backed Trail Blazers50c2,917$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307a…4378backed Mavericks50c2,673$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9117…3bffbacked Trail Blazers50c2,627$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cea…8100backed Mavericks50c2,595$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Mavericks77c2,577$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.644443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe3…461bbacked Mavericks50c2,576$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d11…b2c2backed Trail Blazers50c2,563$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f7…bb11backed Trail Blazers50c2,485$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…19dabacked Trail Blazers50c2,473$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Trail Blazers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Trail Blazers50c1,999$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c75…7329backed Mavericks50c1,953$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a2…a45dbacked Mavericks50c1,838$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Trail Blazers50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Mavericks49c1,743$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.141,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2f7fbacked Mavericks50c1,647$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5890…aa12backed Trail Blazers50c1,612$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a0…5f0fbacked Mavericks50c1,611$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…7efebacked Mavericks50c1,512$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks49c1,485$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa12b…d9c4backed Mavericks50c1,452$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19d…1b46backed Mavericks50c1,444$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d5…9db4backed Mavericks50c1,412$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243e…09d0backed Trail Blazers50c1,396$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Mavericks51c1,391$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.818648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x539c…9c86backed Mavericks50c1,379$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a35…6bdcbacked Trail Blazers50c1,279$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers34c1,269$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.612,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7c…82e5backed Trail Blazers50c1,215$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Mavericks51c1,179$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.1342352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9889…e37dbacked Trail Blazers50c1,168$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…9524backed Trail Blazers50c1,162$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Trail Blazers49c1,156$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.639952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0247…863ebacked Trail Blazers50c1,122$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb901…ee03backed Trail Blazers50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Mavericks56c1,081$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.820963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Trail Blazers48c1,070$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.618651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c7…9ddbbacked Mavericks50c1,012$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5063100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Mavericks51c1,008$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Mavericks50c1,002$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Trail Blazers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Trail Blazers21c999.8$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9623938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Trail Blazers35c933.28$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.013933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks50c855$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks50c781$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Mavericks52c745.17$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3554853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Mavericks71c721$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.097152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Trail Blazers51c716$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1647856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Mavericks70c679.56$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6621653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Mavericks50c672.78$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1422552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf0…4eb1backed Mavericks50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d97…9ec3backed Trail Blazers50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38f…2589backed Mavericks51c609.96$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Mavericks50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Mavericks52c600$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Trail Blazers21c587.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks51c580.41$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Mavericks50c572$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.920443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.820650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Mavericks50c501.12$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.238653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Mavericks55c500.67$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Mavericks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Mavericks50c490.75$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4212650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers30c481.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Trail Blazers51c465.57$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.443450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Mavericks51c459.91$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Mavericks53c454.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Mavericks50c445.39$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Mavericks50c431.01$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mavericks58c423.3$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.