NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebff05ab0e24929046808571dc53301403b768ac2399fb12ae04d532fa742b7

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	28,502$13,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,510	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over	50c	11,265$5,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,646.87	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Over	51c	8,284$4,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,225	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Over	51c	5,733$2,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.72	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	3,565$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800.15	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	22c	3,187$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.66	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	51c	3,047$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	49c	2,717$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,375.04	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	53c	2,400$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over	3c	2,180$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+32.5wins	+0.23per pick	16cpaid	+228.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under	50c	1,400$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	3c	1,272$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	47c	1,079$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.04	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	33c	962.47$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over	50c	900$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Over	50c	899.83$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	45c	889$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.87	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Over	51c	882.45$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	55c	877.45$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.85	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over	8c	609.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.69	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+1,317.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	46c	550$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	53c	537$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.39	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over	16c	434$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.27	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over	6c	355.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	51c	272.73$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.09	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	53c	263.19$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.7	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over	47c	213.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over	50c	209$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	47c	180.81$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.81	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over	44c	159.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.39	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	53c	158.4$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.45	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	53c	150.14$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.57	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	52c	125$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	48c	118.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.07	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	52c	113$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over	48c	104.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	250	49.6%124 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c9…ccbabacked Over	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	17c	93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	50c	89.44$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	52c	88.2$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	54c	84.39$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.44	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under	55c	81.59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.08	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under	51c	78$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.22	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	30c	71.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	51c	68.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	56c	58.62$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under	54c	55.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.55	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	49c	51.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Under	54c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under	49c	40.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	405	48.6%197 W · 208 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb03d…5bdcbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	26c	39.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	56c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	36.41$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	33.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	58c	33.39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under	49c	30.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.63	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under	58c	24.34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under	63c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52fd…5883backed Under	49c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	49c	22.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	21.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.02	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Over	52c	21.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	54c	18.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Under	79c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.82	85	71.8%61 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…cdccbacked Under	60c	17.33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Mavericks won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5No won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Under won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event