NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c1c6e5db3bdcd9c9e45f3f6b4e02944a73285832885bab670f903ff0861b5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Predators, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,961 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3deb…1e0fbacked Kraken | 67c | 1,260$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…52a0backed Kraken | 67c | 1,230$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken | 67c | 1,032$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.23 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…f57abacked Kraken | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Predators | 33c | 552.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 75c | 531.78$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…0217backed Predators | 32c | 431$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Predators | 33c | 430$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…6e25backed Predators | 32c | 382$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 24c | 328.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…8641backed Predators | 32c | 312$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…5e23backed Predators | 32c | 296$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…39e0backed Kraken | 68c | 291$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 67c | 279.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…d2ccbacked Predators | 32c | 267$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Predators | 32c | 249.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 34c | 234$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…4404backed Kraken | 68c | 229$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…765abacked Kraken | 68c | 228$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…3aa8backed Kraken | 68c | 222$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Predators | 33c | 215$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…06c5backed Kraken | 68c | 197$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…8750backed Kraken | 68c | 191$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…1016backed Kraken | 68c | 180$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…e094backed Kraken | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kraken | 70c | 114.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Predators | 33c | 113$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken | 66c | 108.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Predators | 33c | 107.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Predators | 33c | 107.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 66c | 103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kraken | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kraken | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Predators | 30c | 85.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Kraken | 67c | 85.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kraken | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kraken | 51c | 68.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Predators | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kraken | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Predators | 33c | 54.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kraken | 66c | 51.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Predators | 31c | 40.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kraken | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kraken | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Kraken | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Kraken | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kraken | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kraken | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…104dbacked Kraken | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kraken | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Kraken vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.