TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Kraken, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$878,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,671 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Predators54c279,659$151,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,642.9519848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Predators54c250,148$134,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,682.6167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken46c180,162$82,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,788.4851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Kraken47c109,754$51,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,813.096352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kraken46c102,246$47,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,033.1740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Predators55c74,656$41,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,595.224349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Kraken45c47,000$21,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,114.3322550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken46c45,371$20,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,874.8261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators52c36,778$19,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,626.181,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kraken46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Predators55c27,990$15,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,595.5548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kraken45c27,793$12,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,525.3736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kraken47c21,787$10,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,227.3345751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Kraken46c18,888$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,688.4821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kraken46c15,217$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken46c14,000$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4401,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Predators55c11,099$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,994.5526058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Kraken45c10,510$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.4614954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kraken47c8,890$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.741,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Predators55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken46c6,870$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.492,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Predators55c6,750$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kraken46c6,443$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.511,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Predators54c6,012$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.791,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kraken46c5,435$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken45c5,238$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.321,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken46c5,128$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken45c5,006$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.992,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kraken47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Kraken44c4,728$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.3611553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Kraken44c4,444$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.572948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken46c4,347$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kraken33c4,253$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Predators56c4,169$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.6227448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kraken45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Predators53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kraken46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kraken47c2,965$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.3637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken45c2,911$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Kraken45c2,690$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.54738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Predators54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken46c2,222$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.0189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken46c2,045$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.191,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kraken45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9922747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Predators54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kraken45c1,738$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.0457238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Predators52c1,635$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.621,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators54c1,614$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.1391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Predators78c1,502$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1132744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Predators51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Predators51c1,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73032650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63089636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Predators64c1,452$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.521560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc366…3246backed Predators55c1,281$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kraken44c1,235$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.361748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken47c1,234$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken40c1,207$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.421,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…a352backed Kraken46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Predators54c1,128$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Kraken46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators70c1,069$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kraken45c1,059$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed Predators58c1,008$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7223159.3%137 W · 94 L+22.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kraken45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kraken44c999.96$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Predators55c972.19$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Predators59c964.09$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5530259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kraken32c927.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Predators55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0910647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Predators54c902.87$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3219759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kraken47c855.01$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Kraken47c850$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.538445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kraken44c827.85$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2525447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Predators52c811.24$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3681,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…a1f1backed Predators56c767.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.73844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Predators54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.747648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…c77ebacked Kraken45c733.2$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.941952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…5d9fbacked Predators56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3084151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3689…d536backed Predators55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Predators68c699.59$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34a…9510backed Predators56c680.5$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3361…3803backed Predators55c671$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaed6…ea9bbacked Kraken46c656.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e16…900dbacked Predators52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Kraken46c648$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Kraken35c613.65$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.477542.7%32 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Predators53c596$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.123161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Predators55c578.81$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Predators53c578$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6633941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1d…bdfbbacked Kraken46c570$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kraken45c551.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.551,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b4e7backed Predators56c540$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken45c537.96$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Predators52c535$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5733950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Predators54c532.69$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.042759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9acc…6c7fbacked Predators56c525.75$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.