NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea2439731cd99f2b3e8ab5c7e0c99cfdf7065075d9911345bc389a4c112de78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,176 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 47c | 25,915$12,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,671.17 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,249.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 16,627$9,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,212.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 55c | 9,514$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 8,640$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.82 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 2,894$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.04 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 2,073$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.76 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 57c | 2,015$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.61 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 57c | 1,999$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.43 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,618$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.62 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 1,402$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 1,168$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.67 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 1,007$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 57c | 753.68$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 745$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 44c | 494.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.07 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 413.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 265.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 57c | 226.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 210.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 54c | 186.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…21febacked Under | 44c | 162.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 57c | 134.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 42c | 114.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 53c | 91.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Over | 55c | 81.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 53c | 69.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 56c | 61.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 47c | 52.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 26c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 39.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 56c | 38.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 35.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 25.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 57c | 25.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 55c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 43c | 24.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 54c | 21.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.