NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c4163fb554921f5c561babdde3a7f362592ecf8808d8371bbef342bc0039c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,970 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 38,244$20,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,492.05 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 46c | 15,994$7,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,357.46 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 45c | 10,938$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.06 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 54c | 10,285$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.1 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 4,006$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,980$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 3,522$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.11 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 2,017$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 1,270$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 55c | 1,212$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.8 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 778$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.71 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 566$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 45c | 546.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 14c | 523.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 461$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 46c | 457$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 421.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 339.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 313.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 46c | 265.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 46c | 151.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 46c | 94.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 55.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 42c | 51.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 57c | 51.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 43c | 41.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 61c | 40.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Under | 56c | 38.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.