TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,210,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,374,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,210,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 968 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz28c171,359$47,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,709.2251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Clippers76c98,684$74,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,759.4321057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Clippers74c75,000$55,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,308.4523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Jazz28c53,896$15,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,090.93234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Clippers72c52,492$37,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,697.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz27c48,454$12,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,961.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz14c47,490$6,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,667.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers73c45,537$33,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,122.22,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Clippers74c36,869$27,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,427.1125546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz27c36,808$9,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,938.2740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz27c35,792$9,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,506.324831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz29c33,000$9,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5705648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz4c32,858$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.031,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers71c26,821$19,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,778.1223245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz27c26,802$7,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,232.5420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Jazz0c24,640$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz29c23,930$7,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,035.6150838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz23c23,364$5,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,488.941,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Jazz5c22,774$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.1214334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Clippers73c21,594$15,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,772.5948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers74c21,456$15,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.941,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Jazz28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9519751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.8927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers73c19,865$14,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,398.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz25c19,366$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.4759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz28c18,132$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Clippers67c16,400$10,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.9527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz24c15,420$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.3748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Clippers72c15,110$10,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.2310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Clippers71c15,033$10,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.5715841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Jazz30c13,913$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.9117646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz29c13,500$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,91560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Jazz26c12,634$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.045630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers72c11,559$8,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c11,280$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.227211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers72c11,204$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.1230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz26c10,795$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.7321944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c10,636$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.051,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz19c10,500$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.5631430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13a…f97fbacked Jazz29c10,202$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Clippers75c10,150$7,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.5317162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Clippers73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers74c10,000$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jazz25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Clippers71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Clippers77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Clippers69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9818151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Clippers71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9719048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Jazz26c9,816$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.3814344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Clippers74c9,567$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.4651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Clippers75c9,463$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.8313455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Clippers72c9,252$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.486651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Jazz26c8,387$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.917035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jazz1c8,280$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0266732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Clippers63c8,147$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.8616550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x916a…b479backed Jazz29c8,033$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.5270%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz1c7,932$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Clippers65c7,711$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.8110952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz8c7,700$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.723,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Clippers72c7,665$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.282334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Clippers71c7,453$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.3239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Clippers73c7,436$5,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.1228742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz25c7,100$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Jazz25c7,001$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.2514055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Jazz41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8704134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Clippers59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8704365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz28c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Clippers74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.9813148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Jazz5c6,997$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.364440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers75c6,987$5,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.512,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Clippers73c6,841$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.4927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Clippers74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.7629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz27c6,749$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.452,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz26c6,699$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.0628439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz26c6,520$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers73c6,471$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Jazz31c6,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers73c6,220$4,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Clippers76c5,569$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.423452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Clippers73c5,365$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.6129352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jazz26c5,278$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.5730947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Clippers70c5,063$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.9152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz26c5,003$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Clippers72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Clippers72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3644…6fdfbacked Clippers73c4,995$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.611668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz0c4,936$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Jazz25c4,787$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21533735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers72c4,778$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.842,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Clippers65c4,772$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.114454.9%79 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Clippers67c4,746$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.8110746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers75c4,614$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Clippers65c4,586$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.2326444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Jazz4c4,535$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.751034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Clippers73c4,506$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.8872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.