TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under44c145,170$64,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,951.2554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over56c75,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,00051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over59c60,000$35,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,266.429857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…ec9dbacked Over56c15,852$8,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,877.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Over56c12,500$6,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,97518747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c8,945$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c7,029$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c6,083$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c4,416$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.162,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under41c4,174$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.3956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c2,101$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.591,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under41c1,984$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.561,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over56c1,819$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c1,747$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.3147542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c1,577$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Over57c1,490$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.33850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c1,463$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.413,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under41c1,179$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under76c906.01$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.11,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under48c842.3$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Under51c786.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.069853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c618.76$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.362,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over57c544$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.645141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under46c424$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under46c422$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under77c416.81$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3762347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c411.67$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under43c392.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.698744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c331.39$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over8c303.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under68c300.37$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under43c268.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4322138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de4…c6e1backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under46c251.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9314949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a50…c1e5backed Over57c249.79$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.62846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3644…671abacked Under45c240$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over55c228.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.621,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c199.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9724946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.85550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aef…00ccbacked Under76c165.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c156.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbee…17c4backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1926…b195backed Over56c142.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over51c139.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c136.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.362,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under43c134.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under50c121.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.844351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc09b…ab6fbacked Over56c121.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under43c113$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.417557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under76c99.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over51c97.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.987746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c97.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under44c91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.967651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dfd…920fbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Over47c85.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018155.2%100 W · 81 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over60c83.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.233438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under45c81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.557441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebe…06b4backed Over56c80.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5256…4973backed Over56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb5…2112backed Under52c67.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.738461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc276…0031backed Over56c64.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under45c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c61.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under44c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.166349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.485141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over54c55.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9820147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Over59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.414445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6e…da08backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.993,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.324658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under48c46.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over50c45.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.567851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5a…0849backed Under46c45.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.216150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3b…5c15backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a35…2c0bbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.233863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under58c39.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.545858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under68c37.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.