TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz50c42,670$21,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,544.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz52c25,579$13,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,245.540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz54c18,507$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers49c15,863$7,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,019.0345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Clippers50c11,255$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Clippers47c8,281$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,389.0442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Clippers50c7,810$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers47c6,955$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.5636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb194…7ac3backed Clippers47c5,857$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz45c5,669$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Clippers49c5,510$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.249246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers48c5,459$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Clippers49c5,214$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.2926949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers46c5,005$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.72,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Clippers46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers55c3,997$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers46c3,987$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Clippers47c3,840$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers47c3,830$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.7941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Jazz50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Clippers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz49c2,981$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.921,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Clippers51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1810045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers48c2,552$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Clippers49c2,509$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.5112950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz52c2,398$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.041,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Clippers50c2,204$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers55c2,054$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Jazz54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Clippers46c1,860$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.410642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Clippers51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers46c1,462$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.611,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz51c1,291$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.082,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Clippers47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.8116254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Clippers46c1,083$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.6117454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Clippers46c1,080$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8338750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Jazz52c1,053$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Jazz50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers52c995.43$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.212,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz52c994.68$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers43c991.22$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Jazz51c928.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2522055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers46c894.48$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Clippers46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4325036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Jazz52c798.99$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7426034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz54c700.03$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Clippers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Jazz53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3187544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers46c596.12$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.022,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Clippers46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4816945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz52c499.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers48c478.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers50c463.08$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5423850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Clippers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clippers46c375.75$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.91,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e86…405ebacked Jazz50c317$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15361747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz50c298.66$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Jazz50c277.55$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8516539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Clippers50c276$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c270.83$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Clippers47c265.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9618852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Clippers50c254.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3410446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c250.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.313,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Jazz50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Clippers51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.294847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Clippers50c211.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc832…ed2bbacked Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Jazz57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11443352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…3f54backed Jazz63c195.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Clippers46c186$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Clippers46c184$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3614742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Jazz51c161.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6124332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Clippers48c160.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4218456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Jazz65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.512737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Clippers46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc09b…ab6fbacked Clippers48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9d…e062backed Clippers47c131.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Clippers50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Clippers51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Clippers49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.228552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Clippers46c112.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.511849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers49c112$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers45c104.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Clippers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.