NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c3a8807d7c3df9f91e807ec37e945a71fe68fe6d152299ccb1eb0785b80685

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	49c	10,471$5,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,340.02	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	6,149$3,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,139.43	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	5,136$2,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,619.43	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	51c	3,947$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013.2	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over	52c	2,544$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.94	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	52c	1,563$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	52c	1,056$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.12	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	52c	1,050$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under	48c	829.17$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.17	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	53c	603.77$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	489.79$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.32	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under	48c	420.83$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.83	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	52c	416.66$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.66	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	53c	415.09$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	400.08$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.52	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	54c	372$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.88	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	46c	372$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.88	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	49c	350$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.5	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	47c	312.59$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.6	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	53c	235.85$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	215$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.65	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under	48c	193$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.36	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over	52c	190.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over	53c	150.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	49c	122.44$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.44	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under	49c	107.16$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.65	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Over	36c	88.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-36%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.81	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	49c	47.85$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	56.2%194 W · 151 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over	53c	31.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over	53c	26.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	25.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f55…e528backed Over	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under	55c	20.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.18	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	193	46.1%89 W · 104 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x583f…18d2backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event