NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91148fb04fa354ccc6b2ef98ce430e0ac40bceaac4a7b7d8522e8ef5b6081202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Clippers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Clippers | 38c | 9,943$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 58c | 3,383$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jazz | 59c | 2,640$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.41 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Jazz | 65c | 1,997$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.95 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Jazz | 33c | 1,123$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.52 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jazz | 50c | 777$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Jazz | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jazz | 29c | 196.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Jazz | 31c | 125.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Clippers | 60c | 99.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Clippers | 69c | 85.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Jazz | 69c | 51.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Clippers | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Clippers | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Jazz | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…eb13backed Clippers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Jazz | 77c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Clippers vs. JazzClippers won
- Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.