NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c55a143c511c6754220aa6a5842c0e0911863feed201f6c791ca9312cfe373d

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	47c	14,813$6,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,850.76	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	53c	7,946$4,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,192.94	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over	53c	2,872$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.36	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	21c	2,838$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	984.94$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.41	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	44c	978$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.68	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	56c	978$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.68	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	54c	398.92$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.2	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	53c	362.62$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.19	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under	46c	231$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.74	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	45c	229.96$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.48	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Under	52c	204.66$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.16	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	53.2%92 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under	46c	149$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under	46c	148$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.92	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…0b58backed Under	54c	129.72$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.72	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	56cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	129.03$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.68	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under	46c	104$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under	47c	101$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.53	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	51c	100.02$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.93	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	47c	98.23$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.17	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under	46c	92$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.68	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+9.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under	47c	86$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.58	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under	46c	74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under	46c	68$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Under	64c	63.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	46c	63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under	46c	62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over	54c	59.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	243	32.9%80 W · 163 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	51c	57.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Over	54c	55.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under	46c	54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.16	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under	46c	53$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over	54c	49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	25c	48.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	49c	48.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Over	54c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…bc8cbacked Over	51c	43.37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	38.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over	54c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Over	49c	37.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58be…5537backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-7.6wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2c1…50d2backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Over	54c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over	54c	29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over	54c	29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-6.0wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over	54c	29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over	53c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Over	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over	54c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Over	53c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x227c…f0cbbacked Under	53c	25.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Over	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Over	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Over	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Over	53c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Over	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over	54c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over	54c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9882…4dddbacked Under	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over	54c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Over	54c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Over	54c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event