NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a87acd01421bd1dadcb160d841b6427cebb08cbac681a9cb057618ee861ac1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Lakers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,094,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,284,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,094,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 58c | 235,762$136,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,235.47 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 39c | 180,309$71,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,002.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 172,023$102,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,175.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Cavaliers | 61c | 163,934$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,934.43 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 39c | 150,000$58,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,499.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 140,376$84,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,654.36 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 59c | 127,118$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,118.37 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 41c | 120,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 42c | 118,999$50,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,296.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.98 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 98,500$59,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,400 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 40c | 92,554$37,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,197.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 71c | 74,614$52,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,776.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Cavaliers | 60c | 62,792$37,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,116.79 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Lakers | 40c | 60,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,200 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Lakers | 40c | 58,014$23,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,205.6 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 16c | 55,730$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,974.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Lakers | 40c | 53,196$21,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,278.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 40c | 52,410$20,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,964.01 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,499.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Lakers | 40c | 49,005$19,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,602 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 45,040$27,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,565.43 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Cavaliers | 63c | 42,411$26,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,692.11 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Lakers | 41c | 41,711$17,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,101.31 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lakers | 37c | 41,404$15,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,319.37 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lakers | 39c | 40,615$15,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,839.98 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers | 38c | 38,827$14,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,754.17 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers | 59c | 35,614$20,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,622.71 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Cavaliers | 60c | 35,326$21,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,130.52 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers | 40c | 35,323$14,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,129.21 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 32,808$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,807.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 31,709$20,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,896.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 41c | 31,670$12,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,847.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Lakers | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 30,000$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 27,673$16,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Lakers | 40c | 27,193$10,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,877 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 12c | 26,786$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.72 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Lakers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers | 41c | 21,570$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,843.5 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 41c | 21,473$8,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,782.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 40c | 20,377$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Lakers | 40c | 20,114$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.6 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 19,513$11,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 13c | 18,978$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.75 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 40c | 18,169$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,347.54 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 32c | 17,569$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers | 41c | 17,190$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.89 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 1c | 17,075$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 16,021$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.85 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers | 40c | 16,005$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Lakers | 40c | 14,900$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…cdb7backed Lakers | 41c | 13,500$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…5519backed Cavaliers | 58c | 13,500$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 39c | 13,474$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.88 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Cavaliers | 60c | 13,333$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.33 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Lakers | 40c | 12,566$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Lakers | 42c | 12,500$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Cavaliers | 58c | 12,390$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.92 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Lakers | 63c | 11,039$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 52c | 10,754$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers | 40c | 10,609$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.68 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lakers | 43c | 10,165$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.99 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Lakers | 40c | 10,080$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Lakers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Lakers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Lakers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Cavaliers | 62c | 9,990$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.8 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 61c | 9,700$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Lakers | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lakers | 42c | 8,863$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.02 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 8,182$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lakers | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Lakers | 2c | 7,976$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…b6b3backed Lakers | 40c | 7,873$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Lakers | 4c | 7,693$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 59c | 7,626$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.19 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Cavaliers | 59c | 7,349$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Lakers | 1c | 7,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Cavaliers | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Lakers | 0c | 7,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Lakers | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.92 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,801$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.41 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Lakers | 42c | 6,800$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers | 42c | 6,767$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.14 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 6,737$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.94 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,692$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.69 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f48ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 6,533$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 6,370$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Lakers | 28c | 6,295$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 43c | 6,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 6,000$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.6 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 1c | 5,853$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.