TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c55,734$26,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,829.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c51,066$27,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,000.841,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under52c30,058$15,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,427.8329351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c20,754$10,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,364.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c20,000$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,996.551,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c14,912$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,135.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c8,206$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.922,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7759…351dbacked Under49c7,780$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ad…30d5backed Under48c7,559$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…3a9cbacked Under49c7,493$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…95a3backed Under48c6,899$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9eb…1dfebacked Over51c6,654$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…3172backed Under48c6,527$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c24…285ebacked Under49c6,486$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3afc…8453backed Over51c6,486$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…a79cbacked Over51c6,418$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c6,352$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.0571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c6,304$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.912,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6019…7bb7backed Under49c6,296$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f15…4be6backed Under49c6,186$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…a1a4backed Over51c6,186$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f0…8525backed Over51c6,022$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…c300backed Over51c5,836$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c5,571$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…c75ebacked Under49c5,420$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecc…15f2backed Under49c5,404$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe031…0dcebacked Over51c5,162$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…a555backed Under49c5,036$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2420…414cbacked Over51c4,846$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf525…5982backed Under49c4,832$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a45…d015backed Under49c4,766$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda6…bb0fbacked Over51c4,447$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3720…f6a2backed Under49c4,412$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aca…b139backed Over51c4,412$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0a…bc66backed Over51c4,352$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e8…33a7backed Under49c4,352$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce02…8ca5backed Under49c4,344$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x358c…a9debacked Over51c4,242$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf651…f275backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…12d0backed Under49c3,912$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.155945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9286…0b72backed Over51c3,802$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e1e…02acbacked Under49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1191…f2e9backed Over52c3,525$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d7…f37dbacked Over51c3,163$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1922…72eebacked Over51c3,112$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.1250%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7199…0560backed Over52c3,044$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…916dbacked Over51c3,033$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf236…37febacked Under49c3,028$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb253…1a68backed Over52c3,011$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…6de9backed Over52c3,002$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…edb1backed Over52c2,989$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2a…57a5backed Under49c2,884$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…eee9backed Over52c2,878$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d78…f3acbacked Over51c2,755$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.952,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c2,437$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.41,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef45…e01bbacked Under49c1,908$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c1,883$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over28c1,630$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.3524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa045…f2c5backed Over51c1,626$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df4…b4cdbacked Over51c1,626$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f4…b73bbacked Over52c1,526$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbe9…6df8backed Over52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over27c707.97$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over48c699.98$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9913951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under52c684.62$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6217953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c676.77$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over52c520$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under52c505.41$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7312143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c494.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.251,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under74c435.95$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.961,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under48c414.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.588232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over32c407.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under68c333.04$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.524846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.628751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under67c329.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c318.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…c3dbbacked Over49c298.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.292846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over53c219.62$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under52c203.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over54c194.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10565649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.