NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd8eb7139306df999846fe4d0ed5054885d2159bbd87a5379abd70ec7532ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 8,342$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.94 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7f…c250backed Lakers | 48c | 7,151$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2be…6ab9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,971$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 49c | 6,802$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 6,633$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…1120backed Lakers | 48c | 6,561$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…1db9backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,557$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…ae34backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,509$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7dd1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,345$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…ff7bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 6,281$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…d1cebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,755$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lakers | 45c | 5,460$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.98 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…22b1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,435$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…b4efbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 5,293$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…5c7ebacked Lakers | 48c | 4,990$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…1e4fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,989$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…6579backed Lakers | 48c | 4,935$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…3e0fbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,798$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…84b7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,774$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921e…aca3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,698$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…f8e6backed Lakers | 48c | 4,453$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers | 46c | 3,860$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.45 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…dd5fbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,558$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 47c | 3,344$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…f6a2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,916$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…8ca5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…61b7backed Lakers | 48c | 2,718$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…3e71backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,635$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…07f0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,542$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…602fbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,534$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…b11fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,523$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…a555backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,514$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…12d0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,486$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…5afabacked Lakers | 48c | 2,455$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…5883backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,447$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…56d7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,444$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…938abacked Lakers | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…ebc8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,412$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…713fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,355$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…1ce7backed Lakers | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…0b06backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,354$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…79c1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,354$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…8bd6backed Lakers | 48c | 2,352$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…cbebbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,351$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…a0b0backed Lakers | 48c | 2,350$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…92b5backed Lakers | 48c | 2,344$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…74e5backed Lakers | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Lakers | 48c | 2,290$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…90fdbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,288$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…85bdbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,260$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…6065backed Lakers | 48c | 2,256$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…01c0backed Lakers | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d2…069cbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…0145backed Lakers | 47c | 2,201$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…1149backed Lakers | 48c | 2,180$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…d38bbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,156$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…0c1ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,154$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…e053backed Lakers | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…2e0ebacked Lakers | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f3…eec9backed Lakers | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,093$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Lakers | 48c | 2,082$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…33a7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,079$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…3f02backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,053$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…b6cbbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,025$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c458backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec6…bc63backed Lakers | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Lakers | 48c | 1,877$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…43fcbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,789$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…e45ebacked Lakers | 47c | 1,765$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…5982backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 45c | 1,623$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,316$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.51 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,256$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.36 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 47c | 1,196$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,098$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Lakers | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…02acbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…c300backed Lakers | 47c | 950$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…8525backed Lakers | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 46c | 883.42$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9286…0b72backed Lakers | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 830$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…57a5backed Lakers | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Cavaliers | 55c | 726$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…1dfebacked Lakers | 48c | 660$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Lakers | 49c | 657$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…c75ebacked Lakers | 48c | 646$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Lakers | 48c | 635$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…8453backed Lakers | 48c | 618$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…e01bbacked Lakers | 48c | 609$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…285ebacked Lakers | 48c | 584$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Lakers | 48c | 582$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…7bb7backed Lakers | 48c | 556$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Lakers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.